Games › Offroad › Offroad + Physics
Should I ship a Physics Offroad game?
Offroad + Physics
Of 50 developers who shipped a Physics Offroad game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $3.9M, ×2626 the market median. Revenue is up 460% on the market; 71 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.7k (exactly $2,696) |
| Top 25% | $37k (exactly $36,875) |
| Top 5% | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 50 |
| Released games | 143 |
| Announced | 71 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 460% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 2%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad, Physics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, Simulation, Automobile Sim
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 86,297 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + 3D PlatformerLong shot
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NaturePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
MX Bikes 2019 · EA · $37M 
MudRunner 2017 · $23M 
RV There Yet? 2025 · $17M 
JDM: Japanese Drift Master 2025 · $5.5M 
MX vs ATV Legends 2022 · $5.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | MX Bikes | · EA older | $34.99 | 35,684 94% | 1.1M | $37M (exactly $37,457,495) | PiBoSo |
| | MudRunner | older | $19.99 | 37,705 91% | 1.1M | $23M (exactly $22,611,688) | Saber Interactive |
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | JDM: Japanese Drift Master | $34.99 | 5,217 75% | 157k | $5.5M (exactly $5,476,285) | Gaming Factory | |
| | MX vs ATV Legends | older | $39.99 | 4,524 82% | 136k | $5.4M (exactly $5,427,443) | Rainbow Studios |
 | art of rally | older | $24.99 | 5,580 92% | 167k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,326) | Funselektor Labs Inc. |
 | WRC Generations – The FIA WRC Official Game | older | $39.99 | 3,345 67% | 100k | $4.0M (exactly $4,012,996) | KT Racing |
 | WRC 10 FIA World Rally Championship | older | $49.99 | 2,657 73% | 80k | $4.0M (exactly $3,984,703) | KT Racing |
 | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
 | Expeditions: A MudRunner Game | older | $39.99 | 3,000 59% | 90k | $3.6M (exactly $3,599,100) | Saber Interactive |
 | Pure Rock Crawling | $14.99 | 1,291 83% | 39k | $581k (exactly $580,563) | Maciej Kuzianik | |
 | #DRIVE Rally | $19.99 | 743 79% | 22k | $446k (exactly $445,577) | Pixel Perfect Dude | |
 | World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition | $39.99 | 243 89% | 7.3k | $292k (exactly $291,527) | Monster Games, Amber | |
 | Exo Rally Championship | $24.99 | 374 90% | 11k | $280k (exactly $280,388) | Exbleative | |
 | Recharge: Room Games | · EA | $19.99 | 313 67% | 9.4k | $188k (exactly $187,706) | Room Games |
 | ReCharge RC: High Voltage | · EA | $13.99 | 393 95% | 12k | $165k (exactly $164,942) | Hondune Games |
 | Chained Wheels | $4.99 | 619 69% | 19k | $93k (exactly $92,664) | Karga Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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