Do I ship it?

GamesOffroadOffroad + Character Customization

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Character Customization Offroad game?

Offroad + Character Customization

Only 11 developers shipped a Character Customization Offroad game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RV There Yet?, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $69k, ×46 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $17M, ×11638 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 46.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Offroad + Character Customization
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $4.0k → $446k → $959 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Offroad + Character Customization: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $959 (exactly $959)
Median $69k (exactly $69,411)
Top 25% $581k (exactly $580,563)
Top 5% $17M (exactly $17,433,860)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 33
Announced 27
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Offroad
effort 7 / 10 · low · terrain and suspension physics
Character Customization
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Offroad, Character Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 90% positive over 79,982 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $960, median $69k, 1 in 4 over $580k, 1 in 20 over $17M.

3 in 10 developers made under $960. None of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + 3D PlatformerLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  2. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  3. + PvPPoor odds13 devs · median $4.3k · 19 announced
  4. + PhysicsPoor odds50 devs · median $2.7k · 71 announced
  5. + ExplorationPoor odds42 devs · median $2.7k · 70 announced
  6. + SportsPoor odds25 devs · median $2.5k · 28 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $2.3k · 26 announced
  8. + Automobile SimPoor odds50 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + SimulationPoor odds57 devs · median $1.3k · 83 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds22 devs · median $1.3k · 50 announced
  11. + NaturePoor odds20 devs · median $1.1k · 34 announced
  12. + SandboxPoor odds19 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced

All 28 pairs on the Offroad page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
RV There Yet? $7.99 72,732 90% 2.2M $17M (exactly $17,433,860) Nuggets Entertainment
Sledders $29.99 4,372 95% 131k $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) Hanki Games
Expeditions: A MudRunner Game older $39.99 3,000 59% 90k $3.6M (exactly $3,599,100) Saber Interactive
Pure Rock Crawling $14.99 1,291 83% 39k $581k (exactly $580,563) Maciej Kuzianik
#DRIVE Rally $19.99 743 79% 22k $446k (exactly $445,577) Pixel Perfect Dude
Unbridled: That Horse Game · EA $24.99 487 85% 15k $365k (exactly $365,104) Mind Evotion Games
Ashes of the Union older $12.99 407 63% 12k $159k (exactly $158,608) 700 Games Studio
Offroad Mania older $7.99 367 94% 11k $88k (exactly $87,970) Active Games
Bar After Bar $6.99 331 87% 9.9k $69k (exactly $69,411) OneMan Tim
Tony Stewart's All-American Racing older $9.99 215 86% 6.5k $64k (exactly $64,436) Monster Games, Inc.
WITHOUT A HITCH $7.99 21 90% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Codename Entertainment Inc.
MX Racing World $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Nitx Games
No Roads: 4×4 Off-Road Challenge $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Kevin Smith
MonoRace $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SIA BASE LOGIC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.