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Should I ship a Character Customization Offroad game?
Offroad + Character Customization
Only 11 developers shipped a Character Customization Offroad game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RV There Yet?, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $69k, ×46 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $960; 1 in 20 cleared $17M, ×11638 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $959 (exactly $959) |
|---|---|
| Median | $69k (exactly $69,411) |
| Top 25% | $581k (exactly $580,563) |
| Top 5% | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 33 |
| Announced | 27 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Offroad
- effort 7 / 10 · low · terrain and suspension physics
- Character Customization
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Offroad, Character Customization
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 90% positive over 79,982 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $960. None of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + 3D PlatformerLong shot
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + PhysicsPoor odds
- + ExplorationPoor odds
- + SportsPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + Automobile SimPoor odds
- + SimulationPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + NaturePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | RV There Yet? | $7.99 | 72,732 90% | 2.2M | $17M (exactly $17,433,860) | Nuggets Entertainment | |
| | Sledders | $29.99 | 4,372 95% | 131k | $3.9M (exactly $3,933,488) | Hanki Games | |
| | Expeditions: A MudRunner Game | older | $39.99 | 3,000 59% | 90k | $3.6M (exactly $3,599,100) | Saber Interactive |
| | Pure Rock Crawling | $14.99 | 1,291 83% | 39k | $581k (exactly $580,563) | Maciej Kuzianik | |
| | #DRIVE Rally | $19.99 | 743 79% | 22k | $446k (exactly $445,577) | Pixel Perfect Dude | |
| | Unbridled: That Horse Game | · EA | $24.99 | 487 85% | 15k | $365k (exactly $365,104) | Mind Evotion Games |
| | Ashes of the Union | older | $12.99 | 407 63% | 12k | $159k (exactly $158,608) | 700 Games Studio |
| | Offroad Mania | older | $7.99 | 367 94% | 11k | $88k (exactly $87,970) | Active Games |
| | Bar After Bar | $6.99 | 331 87% | 9.9k | $69k (exactly $69,411) | OneMan Tim | |
| | Tony Stewart's All-American Racing | older | $9.99 | 215 86% | 6.5k | $64k (exactly $64,436) | Monster Games, Inc. |
| | WITHOUT A HITCH | $7.99 | 21 90% | 630 | $5.0k (exactly $5,034) | Codename Entertainment Inc. | |
| | MX Racing World | $7.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $959 (exactly $959) | Nitx Games | |
| | No Roads: 4×4 Off-Road Challenge | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Kevin Smith | |
| | MonoRace | $14.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | SIA BASE LOGIC |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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