Games › Physics › Physics + Naval
Should I ship a Naval Physics game?
Physics + Naval
Only 11 developers shipped a Naval Physics game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Modern Naval Warfare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $420k, ×679 the market median. Revenue is up 22080% on the market; 40 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) |
|---|---|
| Median | $12k (exactly $11,994) |
| Top 25% | $70k (exactly $70,472) |
| Top 5% | $427k (exactly $426,529) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 56 |
| Announced | 40 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 22080% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Physics
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,056 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 40 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Stormworks: Build and Rescue 2020 · $41M 
UBOAT 2024 · $23M 
From the Depths 2020 · $8.3M 
Ship Graveyard Simulator 2021 · $948k 
Modern Naval Warfare 2026 · EA · $427k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Stormworks: Build and Rescue | older | $24.99 | 54,649 90% | 1.6M | $41M (exactly $40,970,355) | Geometa |
| | UBOAT | older | $29.99 | 25,568 83% | 767k | $23M (exactly $23,003,530) | Deep Water Studio |
| | From the Depths | older | $24.99 | 11,059 89% | 332k | $8.3M (exactly $8,290,932) | Brilliant Skies Ltd. |
| | Ship Graveyard Simulator | older | $14.99 | 2,107 64% | 63k | $948k (exactly $947,518) | Games Incubator |
| | Modern Naval Warfare | · EA | $59.99 | 237 58% | 7.1k | $427k (exactly $426,529) | Wave Ops |
 | Boat Crew | · EA older | $24.99 | 431 89% | 13k | $323k (exactly $323,121) | Tabbing Tabby |
 | Sea of Craft | older | $14.99 | 385 70% | 12k | $173k (exactly $173,134) | Wizard Games |
 | SHIPS AT WAR | · EA older | $14.99 | 369 76% | 11k | $166k (exactly $165,939) | Golddorf Spieleentwicklung |
 | Ships 2017 | older | $19.99 | 156 32% | 4.7k | $94k (exactly $93,553) | FragOut |
 | Professional Ship Simulator | · EA | $36.99 | 81 62% | 2.4k | $90k (exactly $89,886) | SWE Systems |
 | Water You Doing? | $7.99 | 294 59% | 8.8k | $70k (exactly $70,472) | DiSolve Studios | |
 | ShipShaper: Falconeer Chronicles | · EA | $8.99 | 192 96% | 5.8k | $52k (exactly $51,782) | Tomas Sala |
 | ShipCrafter | · EA | $7.99 | 209 90% | 6.3k | $50k (exactly $50,097) | Myrmecoman |
 | Fathom's End | · EA | $19.99 | 20 95% | 600 | $12k (exactly $11,994) | Lonely Anchor |
 | Stout Kayak | · EA | $14.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $4.0k (exactly $4,047) | CreekBorn Games |
 | Speedboat Simulator | · EA | $8.99 | 10 70% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Hard Shark Games |
 | The Great Ocean | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Actrio Studio | |
 | Hullbreaker | · EA | $6.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $419 (exactly $419) | Dalton |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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