Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + Nature

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Nature Stealth game?

Stealth + Nature

Of 45 developers who shipped a Nature Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 112 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $630k, ×1006 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 112 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 112 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Nature
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $90 → $3.9k → $1.4k → $2.3k → $2.4k → $4.1k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Nature: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $358 (exactly $358)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 25% $10k (exactly $10,316)
Top 5% $632k (exactly $631,997)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 118
Announced 112
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 130% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Nature
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 12,236 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $630k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 112 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Far Cry® 5 2018 · $311M theHunter: Call of the Wild™ 2017 · $102M Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered 2024 · $10M Way of the Hunter 2022 · $7.7M Endling - Extinction is Forever 2022 · $2.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Far Cry® 5 older $59.99 172,897 81% 5.2M $311M (exactly $311,162,731) Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Sh… (Ubisoft Montreal, Red Storm, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Toronto, Ubisoft Kiev)
theHunter: Call of the Wild™ older $19.99 170,472 89% 5.1M $102M (exactly $102,232,058) Expansive Worlds
Horizon Zero Dawn™ Remastered $49.99 6,860 84% 206k $10M (exactly $10,287,942) Guerrilla Games, Nixxes Software
Way of the Hunter older $29.99 8,528 81% 256k $7.7M (exactly $7,672,642) Nine Rocks Games
Endling - Extinction is Forever older $29.99 2,890 94% 87k $2.6M (exactly $2,600,133) Herobeat Studios
Shelter 2 older $24.99 3,378 87% 101k $2.5M (exactly $2,532,487) Might and Delight
Hunting Simulator 2 older $39.99 904 70% 27k $1.1M (exactly $1,084,529) Nacon Studio Ghent
Sapphire Safari · EA $12.99 1,653 92% 50k $644k (exactly $644,174) Kinky Fridays
Oh Deer older $9.99 2,125 84% 64k $637k (exactly $636,862) Cozy Cabin Studios
Darwin's Paradox! $24.99 843 87% 25k $632k (exactly $631,997) ZDT Studio
FEROCIOUS $24.99 742 63% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) OMYOG
BULT: Hunting simulator · EA $9.99 869 87% 26k $260k (exactly $260,439) Nordrise
Deer & Boy $19.99 370 94% 11k $222k (exactly $221,889) Lifeline Games
Koira $17.99 289 93% 8.7k $156k (exactly $155,973) Studio Tolima
The Pale Mimic $7.99 345 86% 10k $83k (exactly $82,696) Dark Snow Games
Iridio $19.99 87 86% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KR Games
Hoofobia $6.99 178 68% 5.3k $37k (exactly $37,327) Deathyell Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.