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Should I ship a Mythological Turn-Based game?
Turn-Based + Mythology
Only 16 developers shipped a Mythological Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Aethermancer, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $33k, ×53 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.0M, ×3209 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $7.3k (exactly $7,340) |
|---|---|
| Median | $33k (exactly $33,289) |
| Top 25% | $76k (exactly $76,449) |
| Top 5% | $2.0M (exactly $2,015,524) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $14.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Turn-Based
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Turn-Based; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Dungeon Crawler, Perma Death
- Price point
- $14.99 typical · top 25% priced $25.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $25.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,863 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $7.4k. 7 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds
- + DragonsStrong odds
- + Hack and SlashStrong odds
- + SandboxFair
- + HorrorFair
- + CraftingFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + ArcadeFair
- + ChessFair
- + Tower DefensePoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | King Arthur: Knight's Tale | older | $44.99 | 6,722 83% | 202k | $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) | NeocoreGames |
| | Black Book | older | $24.99 | 5,306 93% | 159k | $4.0M (exactly $3,977,908) | Morteshka |
| | Aethermancer | · EA | $25.99 | 2,585 91% | 78k | $2.0M (exactly $2,015,524) | moi rai games |
| | Thea: The Awakening | older | $19.99 | 3,318 87% | 100k | $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) | MuHa Games |
| | Dominions 4: Thrones of Ascension | older | $34.99 | 1,124 89% | 34k | $1.2M (exactly $1,179,863) | Illwinter Game Design |
| | Operencia: The Stolen Sun | older | $29.99 | 537 76% | 16k | $483k (exactly $483,139) | Zen Studios |
| | Sword and Fairy 3 | older | $7.99 | 1,936 84% | 58k | $464k (exactly $464,059) | SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI) |
| | 道衍诀 | · EA older | $11.99 | 988 49% | 30k | $355k (exactly $355,384) | 宁德动游网络科技有限公司 |
| | Blood Rage: Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 477 58% | 14k | $286k (exactly $286,057) | Endava |
| | Six Ages: Ride Like the Wind | older | $19.99 | 460 81% | 14k | $276k (exactly $275,862) | A Sharp |
| | Hungry Horrors | · EA | $14.99 | 209 98% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $93,987) | Clumsy Bear Studio |
| | Shields of Loyalty | $19.99 | 140 77% | 4.2k | $84k (exactly $83,958) | Mosaic Mask Studio | |
| | Spear Song | · EA | $14.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $76k (exactly $76,449) | Divovision Games |
| | Guards II: Chaos in Hell | $15.99 | 125 96% | 3.8k | $60k (exactly $59,962) | Battlecruiser Games | |
| | 壶中日月 Timeless Teapot | $4.99 | 384 77% | 12k | $57k (exactly $57,485) | 壶天云镜 | |
| | Relief | $9.99 | 112 70% | 3.4k | $34k (exactly $33,566) | Billiontail | |
| | KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - | $29.99 | 37 64% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | GRAVITY GAME ARISE | |
| | Talespinner | $14.99 | 53 71% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $23,834) | Flash Cat Games | |
| | Cultivation Story: Infinite Sword Realm | · EA | $14.99 | 48 75% | 1.4k | $22k (exactly $21,586) | Bid Pond Studio Ltd. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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