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Should I ship a Mythological Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Mythology
Of 22 developers who shipped a Mythological Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced, ×6.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.3k, ×6.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $93k, ×149 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 69 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,439) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $18,887) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $93,542) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 22 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 69 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG; all of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 63% positive over 3,234 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal 2023 · $114M 
King Arthur: Knight's Tale 2022 · $9.1M 
NORSE: Oath of Blood 2026 · $2.7M 
Aces & Adventures 2023 · $1.3M 
Warriors of the Nile 2020 · $940k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal | older | $19.99 | 190,184 56% | 5.7M | $114M (exactly $114,053,345) | 鬼谷工作室 |
| | King Arthur: Knight's Tale | older | $44.99 | 6,722 83% | 202k | $9.1M (exactly $9,072,683) | NeocoreGames |
| | NORSE: Oath of Blood | $34.99 | 2,535 56% | 76k | $2.7M (exactly $2,660,990) | Arctic Hazard | |
| | Aces & Adventures | older | $19.99 | 2,220 89% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,331,334) | Triple.B.Titles |
| | Warriors of the Nile | older | $12.99 | 2,412 79% | 72k | $940k (exactly $939,956) | Stove Studio |
 | Warriors of the Nile 2 | older | $14.99 | 1,180 88% | 35k | $531k (exactly $530,646) | Stove Studio |
 | King Arthur: Legion IX | older | $19.99 | 774 72% | 23k | $464k (exactly $464,168) | NeocoreGames |
 | Earthling's Undertaking | older | $10.99 | 930 64% | 28k | $307k (exactly $306,621) | Current Games |
 | 封神榜2022 | older | $9.99 | 927 91% | 28k | $278k (exactly $277,822) | FC Maker |
 | 大千世界 | older | $3.99 | 2,289 86% | 69k | $274k (exactly $273,993) | 滑稽工作室 |
 | Celestial Descends | · EA | $15.99 | 195 86% | 5.9k | $94k (exactly $93,542) | Destined Game Studio |
 | Spear Song | · EA | $14.99 | 170 88% | 5.1k | $76k (exactly $76,449) | Divovision Games |
 | Guards II: Chaos in Hell | $15.99 | 125 96% | 3.8k | $60k (exactly $59,962) | Battlecruiser Games | |
 | Touhou: Divine Land -Majesty in Game- | $14.99 | 53 92% | 1.6k | $24k (exactly $23,834) | Oct.Works | |
 | Broken Alliance | · EA | $14.99 | 42 80% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | Placeholder Gameworks |
 | Demonslayer AKA Me | $7.99 | 34 73% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | 晶尘工作室 | |
 | 鸿运修仙传 | $5.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | 玉米工作室 | |
 | Sunstone War | $4.99 | 34 97% | 1.0k | $5.1k (exactly $5,090) | Blukulélé, Cyrolis Dev | |
 | The Hundred Youkai Master | $11.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $4.3k (exactly $4,316) | OCG S studio, OCG FCGD Division |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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