Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + Mythology

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mythological Stealth game?

Stealth + Mythology

Only 18 developers shipped a Mythological Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Axis Unseen, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 60 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 60 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 60 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Mythology
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.9k → $210 → $449 → $30 → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Mythology: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $232k (exactly $231,657)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 44
Announced 60
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mythology
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 436 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $230k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 60 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018 · $310M Assassin's Creed® Origins 2017 · $216M Assassin's Creed Valhalla 2022 · $74M Chants of Sennaar 2023 · $18M Apsulov: End of Gods 2019 · $905k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey older $59.99 172,149 89% 5.2M $310M (exactly $309,816,555) Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Bucharest, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Kiev, Ubisoft Shanghai)
Assassin's Creed® Origins older $59.99 119,764 85% 3.6M $216M (exactly $215,539,271) Ubisoft Montreal
Assassin's Creed Valhalla older $59.99 41,083 70% 1.2M $74M (exactly $73,937,075) Ubisoft Montreal
Chants of Sennaar older $19.99 30,416 98% 912k $18M (exactly $18,240,475) Rundisc
Apsulov: End of Gods older $19.99 1,509 86% 45k $905k (exactly $904,947) Angry Demon Studio
Unforgiving - A Northern Hymn older $14.99 1,437 82% 43k $646k (exactly $646,219) Angry Demon Studio
The Axis Unseen $24.99 309 75% 9.3k $232k (exactly $231,657) Just Purkey Games
Blood of Mehran $24.99 60 60% 1.8k $45k (exactly $44,982) Permanent Way Game Co.
Little Hats · EA older $19.99 25 88% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Venekamp Studios
Labrys older $6.99 47 68% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) ETS
Code Alkonost: Awakening of Evil $15.99 13 84% 390 $6.2k (exactly $6,236) Alkonost Team
Berghotel Heist $7.99 21 100% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Bindus Games
Banisher $4.99 5 60% 150 $748 (exactly $748) CreakGames
Campfire Stories: The Giant of Green Peaks $0.99 19 73% 570 $564 (exactly $564) WICKED GAMES WORKSHOP
Nuckelavee $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Peatfire Games
伊邪那美闇行 - IzanamiYako $3.99 3 33% 90 $359 (exactly $359) Gentle Giants LLC
Labyrinth's Depths $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Orthrus
Dawn · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) Bloomskull

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.