Should I ship a Mythological PvP game?
PvP + Mythology
Of 25 developers who shipped a paid Mythological PvP game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 117 more are announced, ×7.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300. 117 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 235% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) |
| Top 5% | $111k (exactly $110,589) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 25 |
| Released games | 140 |
| Announced | 117 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 51%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Crafting, Character Customization
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 19,237 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 117 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Age of Mythology: Retold 2024 · $19M 
Soulmask 2026 · $17M 
Ragnarock 2021 · $2.1M 
Niffelheim 2018 · $1.1M 
PAGUI打鬼 2019 · $713k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Age of Mythology: Retold | older | $29.99 | 20,943 90% | 628k | $19M (exactly $18,842,417) | World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantal… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantalus Media, CaptureAge, Virtuos Games) |
| | Soulmask | $29.99 | 18,445 76% | 553k | $17M (exactly $16,594,966) | CampFire Studio | |
| | Ragnarock | older | $24.99 | 2,775 94% | 83k | $2.1M (exactly $2,080,417) | WanadevStudio |
| | Niffelheim | older | $19.99 | 1,820 73% | 55k | $1.1M (exactly $1,091,454) | Ellada Games |
| | PAGUI打鬼 | older | $19.99 | 1,189 82% | 36k | $713k (exactly $713,043) | padendon |
 | Fight of Gods | older | $14.99 | 762 83% | 23k | $343k (exactly $342,671) | Digital Crafter |
 | Demigod | older | $9.99 | 1,011 75% | 30k | $303k (exactly $302,997) | Gas Powered Games |
 | Blood Rage: Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 477 58% | 14k | $286k (exactly $286,057) | Endava |
 | AutoChess of Gensokyo | · EA older | $15.99 | 355 67% | 11k | $170k (exactly $170,294) | MyACG Studio |
 | Camelot Unchained | · EA | $9.99 | 369 38% | 11k | $111k (exactly $110,589) | Unchained Entertainment |
 | AQUAPAZZA: Aquaplus Dream Match | $19.99 | 104 33% | 3.1k | $62k (exactly $62,369) | AQUAPLUS | |
 | Kiln | $7.99 | 154 74% | 4.6k | $37k (exactly $36,914) | Double Fine Productions | |
 | Vienkiemis | · EA | $12.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $17k (exactly $17,147) | dssob, SMEIVIS |
 | Summoner's Gambit | $7.99 | 69 52% | 2.1k | $17k (exactly $16,539) | Billion Studio | |
 | Tutien Path | $14.99 | 16 81% | 480 | $7.2k (exactly $7,195) | Truong Thanh Triet | |
 | Mind of War | · EA | $10.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $4.3k (exactly $4,286) | Pi Video games |
 | MAK: Survival | · EA | $7.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | Two Friend Studios |
 | Wyrd Waters | $1.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | Maximalist |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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