Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Zombies

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Zombie Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Zombies

Only 13 developers shipped a Zombie Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, House of Necrosis, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240, ×0.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $60. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper, while revenue is up 1510% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 1510% on the market, 15 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Zombies
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $59 → $6.0k → $6.3k → $120 → $2.5k
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Zombies: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $209k (exactly $208,986)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 61
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1510% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Zombies
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Mystery Dungeon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dark, Top-Down, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 686 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
That Time I Got Reincarnated as an Orc older $18.99 391 89% 12k $223k (exactly $222,753) HONEYSOFT
House of Necrosis $11.99 581 94% 17k $209k (exactly $208,986) Warkus
To The Light older $8.99 118 42% 3.5k $32k (exactly $31,825) ZOV GAME STUDIO
Rescue Operation older $3.99 253 87% 7.6k $30k (exactly $30,284) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Sword Mistress of the Dungeon Town $17.99 38 65% 1.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Lov… (ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Loving You)
Death Below older $9.99 63 58% 1.9k $19k (exactly $18,881) Soft
Dread Nautical older $19.99 21 61% 630 $13k (exactly $12,594) Zen Studios
ALL IN ONE ADVENTURE VR older $5.99 53 69% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) SJ GAMES
The Vampire older $5.99 49 75% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) SJ Games
Homeland older $5.99 40 65% 1.2k $7.2k (exactly $7,188) HeadHunters games
Veins of DARKNESS $2.99 40 87% 1.2k $3.6k (exactly $3,588) Langonier
Midnight Murder Maze $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Rum Shack Studios LLC
New Heaven · EA $5.99 6 100% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) PCS-Games, PCS-Games
The Night of Escape $3.99 3 0% 90 $359 (exactly $359) LiTang
Dead Beyond $3.99 2 100% 60 $239 (exactly $239) Volkan Kutlubay
Dungeons Bomb $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) MARIOZY
Apocalypse: The Hunger $1.99 2 0% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Bit Boy Games
Entities $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Danilo Willian

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.