Do I ship it?

GamesTacticalTactical + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Tactical game?

Tactical + Mystery Dungeon

Of 20 developers who shipped a Mystery Dungeon Tactical game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.9k. Revenue is up 130% on the market; 15 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.0 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 130% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $239 → $1.0k → $539 → $2.5k → $3.9k (still earning) → $3.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $1.9k (exactly $1,948)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,518)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,587)
Top 5% $354k (exactly $354,423)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 56
Announced 15
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 130% on the market, supply 200% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical, Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Auto Battler, Dungeon Crawler, Deckbuilding
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 2,667 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.0k, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.0k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Football (American)Strong odds12 devs · median $5.8k · 8 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  3. + 6DOFFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  4. + Word GameFair23 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + TypingFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 9 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $1.0k · 10 announced
  7. + Traditional RoguelikeFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + Dynamic NarrationFair13 devs · median $899 · 16 announced
  9. + Farming SimFair12 devs · median $897 · 10 announced
  10. + SolitaireFair25 devs · median $479 · 22 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Fair20 devs · median $479 · 21 announced
  12. + PuzzleFair282 devs · median $449 · 311 announced

All 226 pairs on the Tactical page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tangledeep older $14.99 1,075 82% 32k $483k (exactly $483,428) Impact Gameworks
Vivid World $19.99 591 88% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
TRADESMAN: Deal to Dealer $4.99 1,528 78% 46k $229k (exactly $228,742) AZAMATIKA
Slot & Dungeons $8.99 304 83% 9.1k $82k (exactly $81,989) MUC GAMES
Into the Restless Ruins $14.99 109 83% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) Ant Workshop Ltd
Obsidian Prince older $14.99 103 77% 3.1k $46k (exactly $46,319) Unleash The Giraffe
ZOR: Pilgrimage of the Slorfs · EA older $15.99 43 90% 1.3k $21k (exactly $20,627) Righteous Hammer Games
F*ck the HELL out older $4.99 95 86% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,222) Galactic Geckon
Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG $9.99 42 76% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) GameDevJoey
Rune Gate older $9.99 39 87% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,688) Devwind
Mech Shuffle $9.99 19 94% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) PillBugGames
The Legend of Shiande $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Thales Caus
Scrubbin' Trubble $12.99 10 100% 300 $3.9k (exactly $3,897) Odd Object
Drag'N Dungeon $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Demon Girl
Tileweaver $11.99 7 100% 210 $2.5k (exactly $2,518) Mattalarc & Wolter

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.