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Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Bullet Hell?
Bullet Hell + Mystery Dungeon
Only 14 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Bullet Hell in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Touhou ~Red Empress Devil., made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×2.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) |
| Top 25% | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) |
| Top 5% | $118k (exactly $118,129) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 36 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Bullet Hell
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Bullet Hell, Mystery Dungeon; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action Roguelike, Roguelike, Shooter
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Dark
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 74% positive over 571 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Bullet Hell with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SuperheroStrong odds
- + FaithFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Creature CollectorFair
- + Strategy RPGFair
- + PiratesFair
- + CatsFair
- + HackingFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + Card BattlerFair
- + DemonsFair
- + Naval CombatFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Full Mojo Rampage | older | $12.99 | 524 85% | 16k | $204k (exactly $204,203) | Over the Top Games |
| | Touhou ~Red Empress Devil. | $8.99 | 438 70% | 13k | $118k (exactly $118,129) | STUDIO POCO | |
| | Diabolic | older | $2.99 | 307 84% | 9.2k | $28k (exactly $27,538) | MyDreamForever |
| | F*ck the HELL out | older | $4.99 | 95 86% | 2.9k | $14k (exactly $14,222) | Galactic Geckon |
| | Holy Shot | $5.99 | 53 84% | 1.6k | $9.5k (exactly $9,524) | LoneWolf Digital Arts | |
| | Old Tunnel | older | $8.99 | 29 72% | 870 | $7.8k (exactly $7,821) | HugePixel |
| | Hunter Girls | older | $4.99 | 50 78% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | · |
| | Radioactive Dwarfs: Evil From The Sewers | older | $4.99 | 44 95% | 1.3k | $6.6k (exactly $6,587) | Slay Buherman |
| | Adventure Rush | older | $9.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $6.3k (exactly $6,294) | MrBoscheinen |
| | Ritual: Spellcasting RPG | older | $9.99 | 15 80% | 450 | $4.5k (exactly $4,496) | Hexage |
| | Unwanted Dungeon | $7.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $4.3k (exactly $4,315) | Conrado Saud, Conrado Saud | |
| | DOWNMOUSE | $3.99 | 25 92% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | WobblyHandStudio | |
| | Grabbus | · EA | $6.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.9k (exactly $2,936) | Foxoplasm, LLC |
| | Demon Street | $9.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $1.8k (exactly $1,798) | Manycats Games | |
| | Launch And Loot | $4.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Lua Ludica | |
| | Zelash: Dash and Slash | $5.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | Chris Aceto | |
| | The Power of Doznath | $3.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $598 (exactly $598) | Finebow Games | |
| | Strange Hunting Grounds | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | GaniTani |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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