Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Historical
Should I ship a Historical Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Historical
Only 7 developers shipped a Historical Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.
Verdict: fair, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $300. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $719 (exactly $719) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 5% | $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 7 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 10 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Historical
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,035 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 10 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + PhysicsFair
- + ThrillerFair
Comparable games
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M 
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew 2021 · $73k 
LiBER 2022 · $21k 
Frame - Portals on Steroids 2023 · $18k 
UnderDread 2016 · $13k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy | $49.99 | 3,558 92% | 107k | $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) | Asobo Studio | |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew | older | $13.99 | 173 78% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $72,608) | Quacky Games |
| | LiBER | older | $8.99 | 78 80% | 2.3k | $21k (exactly $21,037) | OLKON GAMES |
| | Frame - Portals on Steroids | older | $16.99 | 35 91% | 1.1k | $18k (exactly $17,840) | MechanicsDriven |
| | UnderDread | older | $4.99 | 89 47% | 2.7k | $13k (exactly $13,323) | Bigzur Games |
 | Richard West and the Golden Mask | older | $3.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | Day Art's Games |
 | Dead Silence - Echoes of the Damned | $4.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Persian Dare | |
 | Elisa Dragon Hunter | older | $0.99 | 65 44% | 2.0k | $1.9k (exactly $1,930) | Boom Games |
 | Rod of Asclepius | $19.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Worcco Arts | |
 | Forsaken | older | $14.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Atharv Raj Soni, Naman Choudhary, Aryan… (Atharv Raj Soni, Naman Choudhary, Aryans Tiwari) |
 | ARALSK 7 | $5.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $719 (exactly $719) | MIR GAMES, MIR GAMES | |
 | Strange Hunting Grounds | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | GaniTani |
 | The Stone of Wisdom | $4.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | NeonBytes | |
 | Tomb Offering | $0.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $208 (exactly $208) | 霡 Mai |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.