Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Tower Defense

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Tower Defense?

Mystery Dungeon + Tower Defense

Only 10 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Legacy of Defense, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×275 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 8 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Tower Defense
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Tower Defense: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $19,787)
Top 5% $131k (exactly $130,636)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 26
Announced 8
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Tower Defense
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Tower Defense
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 72% positive over 669 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $480, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition older $14.99 2,953 64% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,327,964) AMPLITUDE Studios
Legacy of Defense $7.99 545 72% 16k $131k (exactly $130,636) Enter the Game Studios
Digs TD older $19.99 76 67% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Digs Team
Vambrace: Dungeon Monarch $14.99 61 70% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Dvora Studio Co. Ltd.
The Dream Labyrinth $14.99 44 81% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) GGG`s
Dark Treasury older $4.99 52 69% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Astralis Games, Red Axe
Mostly Intense Monster Defense older $4.99 47 87% 1.4k $7.0k (exactly $7,036) Patsui Games
Endorfire Tower Defense older $9.99 19 68% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) The Zoo
Defense&Making · EA $13.99 13 76% 390 $5.5k (exactly $5,456) 3DAYS
MUMMMASTER! older $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Conglomerate 5
Kings Origin $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Nerve Link
Dungeon Fortress : Overlord · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Boonplay
Pixelate TD $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Chen Chia Yang
mazeTD $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) XuChuanqi
Dungeon Crafter $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Fintasys Studio
Crownrats $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) KineticFox, KettuLabs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.