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Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Tower Defense?
Mystery Dungeon + Tower Defense
Only 10 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Tower Defense in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Legacy of Defense, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $480, level with the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×275 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $479 (exactly $479) |
| Top 25% | $20k (exactly $19,787) |
| Top 5% | $131k (exactly $130,636) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 26 |
| Announced | 8 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Tower Defense
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon, Tower Defense
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 8 games average 72% positive over 669 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | ENDLESS Dungeon™ - Definitive Edition | older | $14.99 | 2,953 64% | 89k | $1.3M (exactly $1,327,964) | AMPLITUDE Studios |
| | Legacy of Defense | $7.99 | 545 72% | 16k | $131k (exactly $130,636) | Enter the Game Studios | |
| | Digs TD | older | $19.99 | 76 67% | 2.3k | $46k (exactly $45,577) | Digs Team |
| | Vambrace: Dungeon Monarch | $14.99 | 61 70% | 1.8k | $27k (exactly $27,432) | Dvora Studio Co. Ltd. | |
| | The Dream Labyrinth | $14.99 | 44 81% | 1.3k | $20k (exactly $19,787) | GGG`s | |
| | Dark Treasury | older | $4.99 | 52 69% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Astralis Games, Red Axe |
| | Mostly Intense Monster Defense | older | $4.99 | 47 87% | 1.4k | $7.0k (exactly $7,036) | Patsui Games |
| | Endorfire Tower Defense | older | $9.99 | 19 68% | 570 | $5.7k (exactly $5,694) | The Zoo |
| | Defense&Making | · EA | $13.99 | 13 76% | 390 | $5.5k (exactly $5,456) | 3DAYS |
| | MUMMMASTER! | older | $4.99 | 13 92% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Conglomerate 5 |
| | Kings Origin | $7.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $479 (exactly $479) | Nerve Link | |
| | Dungeon Fortress : Overlord | · EA | $14.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $450 (exactly $450) | Boonplay |
| | Pixelate TD | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Chen Chia Yang | |
| | mazeTD | $0.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | XuChuanqi | |
| | Dungeon Crafter | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Fintasys Studio | |
| | Crownrats | $6.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | KineticFox, KettuLabs |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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