Do I ship it?

Games › Stealth › Stealth + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Stealth game?

Stealth + Mystery Dungeon

Of 30 developers who shipped a Mystery Dungeon Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $89 → $4.9k → $359 → $1.8k → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $478 (exactly $478)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,588)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 70
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 306 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 2021 · $65k Stifled - Echolocation Horror Mystery 2018 · $47k SAVE 2025 · EA · $33k Shame Legacy 2023 · $30k Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire 2024 · $25k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Stifled - Echolocation Horror Mystery older $19.99 78 70% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) Gattai Games
SAVE · EA $11.99 91 48% 2.7k $33k (exactly $32,733) Influsion Inc.
Shame Legacy older $14.99 67 52% 2.0k $30k (exactly $30,130) Fairyship Games, Revenant Games
Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire $19.99 41 70% 1.2k $25k (exactly $24,588) Schell Games
LiBER older $8.99 78 80% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) OLKON GAMES
There Won't be Light · EA older $4.99 50 56% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) BarCoffee Studio
They See Us $3.99 60 85% 1.8k $7.2k (exactly $7,182) MalumGames
Get Ogre It older $11.99 19 68% 570 $6.8k (exactly $6,834) Nintai Studios
Epics of Distant Realm: Holy Return older $0.99 195 83% 5.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,792) Emir Suleiman, Tayfun Tuna
Cursed Halls $6.99 26 92% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Souls Alive Development
Twilight Moonflower $6.99 26 80% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) ConnectedShadowGames
Quantum Sleeper $8.99 18 100% 540 $4.9k (exactly $4,855) Helm Boy Studios
Daughter of The Void · EA $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Shaybabe
The Bound Crystal $14.99 6 33% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) GrapeJuice3D
MeMic $7.99 11 63% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) OnlineKingdom
Midnight Murder Maze $6.99 12 100% 360 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Rum Shack Studios LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.