Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Sokoban

Only 5 developers shipped a Sokoban Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lord Ambermaze, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $300 against a market of $480. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,911)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 26
Announced 10
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Sokoban
Price point
$2.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 437 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $300, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Frame - Portals on Steroids older $16.99 35 91% 1.1k $18k (exactly $17,840) MechanicsDriven
Dr. Kobushi's Labyrinthine Laboratory older $9.99 50 94% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Symbolic Software
Magirune 2 older $4.99 36 100% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Fluffy Lotus
Digs Mini Icy older $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Digs Team
Sokocat - Dungeon older $2.99 38 97% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Rising Moon Games
Mysterious House older $4.99 22 90% 660 $3.3k (exactly $3,293) ShadowGate Studios
Nexus of Fate $4.99 21 85% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) theNeko
Dungeon Slime 2: Puzzle in the Dark Forest older $1.99 45 97% 1.4k $2.7k (exactly $2,686) Daniel Siqueira Abdelnur
Sneaky Rat older $1.99 44 100% 1.3k $2.6k (exactly $2,627) Waidy Andrade
ACHIEVEMENT MAZE $1.99 5 80% 150 $298 (exactly $298) HuntForge
BoxIsland: Sokoban $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) ASON GAME
Tombs Of Myra $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Asylum Square

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.