Do I ship it?

Games › PvP › PvP + Mystery Dungeon

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Mystery Dungeon?

PvP + Mystery Dungeon

Only 10 developers shipped a PvP Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Spirit Animal Survival, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper, while revenue is up 64510% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 64510% on the market, 25 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Mystery Dungeon
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $179 → $360 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Mystery Dungeon: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $10,793)
Top 5% $58k (exactly $57,571)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 38
Announced 25
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 32%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Mystery Dungeon
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 62% positive over 204 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $10k, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

The Backrooms: Survival 2023 · $264k Spirit Animal Survival 2026 · $58k Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG 2026 · $13k Three Skies Ascension 2025 · $11k There Won't be Light 2022 · EA · $7.5k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Backrooms: Survival older $9.99 881 82% 26k $264k (exactly $264,036) RE:CODE
Spirit Animal Survival $19.99 96 62% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) TRUEFX GAMES
Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG $9.99 42 76% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) GameDevJoey
Three Skies Ascension $14.99 24 70% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Shiny Box Games
There Won't be Light · EA older $4.99 50 56% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) BarCoffee Studio
Everfall: Idle Dungeon RPG $4.99 30 33% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) GameDevJoey
Dragon Simulator Multiplayer older $0.99 84 72% 2.5k $2.5k (exactly $2,495) FreezeNova
Arc Wizards older $7.99 6 50% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Nacks Soft
Crypt Architect older $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Cunibon Games
Dungeonoid older $6.99 4 75% 120 $839 (exactly $839) Pixel Bones Studio
Alternis · EA $2.99 6 66% 180 $538 (exactly $538) R4v3nB14ck
Typomon Hunter $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Esoteric Games
Pixelate TD $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Chen Chia Yang
Where is my hat? $1.00 3 100% 90 $90 (exactly $90) God's Hat Team
What Lurks Inside $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dimension Unknown Studio LLC
Maze In Your Mind $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Reinhard Hasudungan

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.