Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Puzzle Platformer?

Mystery Dungeon + Puzzle Platformer

Of 31 developers who shipped a Mystery Dungeon Puzzle Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 16 developers shipped in the last year and 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 480% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 31
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $300 → $240 → $298 → $598 → $60 → $210 → $386 (still earning) → $358 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 31
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $8.5k (exactly $8,544)
Developers, 2 yr 31
Released games 112
Announced 39
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 480% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Puzzle Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cute, 3D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $210, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $8.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
Hourglass older $19.99 331 88% 9.9k $199k (exactly $198,501) Cyberwave
Dungeons of Dreadrock older $5.99 513 94% 15k $92k (exactly $92,186) Prof. Dr. Christoph Minnameier
Mask of Mists older $14.99 171 85% 5.1k $77k (exactly $76,899) 9 Eyes Game Studio
Transliminal: Beyond The Backrooms · EA older $12.49 153 90% 4.6k $57k (exactly $57,329) Corey Jeffries
Forbidden Art older $14.99 96 91% 2.9k $43k (exactly $43,171) AIXLAB
Frame - Portals on Steroids older $16.99 35 91% 1.1k $18k (exactly $17,840) MechanicsDriven
JustAxe older $10.99 53 73% 1.6k $17k (exactly $17,474) Supergalactiс Gamedev
The Cabinets of Doctor Arcana older $9.99 53 92% 1.6k $16k (exactly $15,884) Monolith Graphics, The Hideout
The Strange Story Of Brian Fisher: Chapter 2 $14.99 34 94% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Intetic
Nightfall Empress $14.99 19 84% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) SEEP
UnPlugged $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) DemonLabs Interactive
Neon Sunset $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Lightkeeper's Curse $8.99 12 100% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) Shire Brew Studios
Nexus of Fate $4.99 21 85% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) theNeko
ORPHEUS: TO HELL AND BACK $2.99 25 68% 750 $2.2k (exactly $2,242) StudioLoading, Kibou Entertainment, Alu… (StudioLoading, Kibou Entertainment, Alunite,Inc.)
Levitation Simulator 2 $2.99 13 92% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) OZNA STUDIO
Locked In $5.99 5 40% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Gerch Interactive
Creation of a god: The Eternal Village $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) Lost Dreams Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.