Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Psychological Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological-Horror Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Psychological Horror

Of 75 developers who shipped a Psychological-Horror Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 88 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper, while revenue is up 115% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 88 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Psychological Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 75
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.4k → $4.2k → $1.5k → $2.1k → $180 → $898 → $239 (still earning) → $59 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Psychological Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 75
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $300 (exactly $300)
Top 25% $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,733)
Developers, 2 yr 75
Released games 175
Announced 88
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Psychological Horror
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Survival Horror
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Realistic, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 1,216 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.9k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. Nearly all of the 41 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 38 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Classrooms · EA older $12.99 3,040 89% 91k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,688) Xefier Games, Hillcrest Games Inc.
The Backrooms: Survival older $9.99 881 82% 26k $264k (exactly $264,036) RE:CODE
The Coma 2B: Catacomb $14.99 584 75% 18k $263k (exactly $262,625) Dvora Studio Co., Ltd.
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Unmourned $24.99 258 79% 7.7k $193k (exactly $193,423) Codebros Studio
Transliminal: Beyond The Backrooms · EA older $12.49 153 90% 4.6k $57k (exactly $57,329) Corey Jeffries
Savior of the Abyss older $6.99 236 77% 7.1k $49k (exactly $49,489) ALLAF GAMES
Stifled - Echolocation Horror Mystery older $19.99 78 70% 2.3k $47k (exactly $46,777) Gattai Games
Liminal Shroud $12.99 91 89% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Everdeep Studios
SAVE · EA $11.99 91 48% 2.7k $33k (exactly $32,733) Influsion Inc.
ACCIDENTALLY $12.99 30 60% 900 $12k (exactly $11,691) M&K WORKS
Confronted · EA $7.99 31 100% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Grumpy Rock Studios
They See Us $3.99 60 85% 1.8k $7.2k (exactly $7,182) MalumGames
Vastophobia · EA $7.99 27 92% 810 $6.5k (exactly $6,472) Beyond reason Games
Cursed Halls $6.99 26 92% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Souls Alive Development
La Llorona Wants Your Soul $9.99 18 50% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Focka Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.