Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Precision Platformer?

Mystery Dungeon + Precision Platformer

Only 5 developers shipped a Mystery Dungeon Precision Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sombra, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $480. 8 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 8 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 5% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 8
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Precision Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 418 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.5k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 8 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DOOMER'S ADVENTURE older $9.99 64 85% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) deadworld games
JustAxe older $10.99 53 73% 1.6k $17k (exactly $17,474) Supergalactiс Gamedev
Awesome Pea older $4.99 94 82% 2.8k $14k (exactly $14,072) PigeonDev
Man in gravity older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Old Tunnel older $8.99 29 72% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) HugePixel
Hunter Girls older $4.99 50 78% 1.5k $7.5k (exactly $7,485) ·
Dwarfer older $4.99 24 95% 720 $3.6k (exactly $3,593) SUJIKO Media Group
Pocket Witch older $1.99 47 95% 1.4k $2.8k (exactly $2,806) Naoka Studio, Pufferfish Digital
Darkness Maze Cube - Hardcore Puzzle Game older $2.99 31 96% 930 $2.8k (exactly $2,781) YAW Studios
Sombra $5.99 14 92% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) SytoDev
Levitation Simulator 2 $2.99 13 92% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) OZNA STUDIO
MeowSon $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) CrAzy GAmes CreAtor
Orbit Maze $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Esra Koç Yılmaz
Hang in there $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Skogman

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.