Do I ship it?

GamesMystery DungeonMystery Dungeon + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mystery Dungeon Platformer?

Mystery Dungeon + Platformer

Of 23 developers who shipped a Mystery Dungeon Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×1.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $12k, ×26 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 39 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 39 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $178 → $598 → $598 → $119 → $748 → $386 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,142)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 103
Announced 39
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Action, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 357 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $600, 1 in 4 over $3.2k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Reventure older $12.34 8,451 95% 254k $3.1M (exactly $3,128,560) Pixelatto
Maid of Salvation $14.99 209 88% 6.3k $94k (exactly $93,987) ORANGE POPCORN
DOOMER'S ADVENTURE older $9.99 64 85% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) deadworld games
JustAxe older $10.99 53 73% 1.6k $17k (exactly $17,474) Supergalactiс Gamedev
Super Dungeon Boy older $2.99 172 78% 5.2k $15k (exactly $15,428) Tower Up Studios
F*ck the HELL out older $4.99 95 86% 2.9k $14k (exactly $14,222) Galactic Geckon
Awesome Pea older $4.99 94 82% 2.8k $14k (exactly $14,072) PigeonDev
Rusty Rangers $14.99 27 88% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) Fantastica!
Castle of Vania $10.99 35 48% 1.1k $12k (exactly $11,540) Succubus Factory
Dark Frame older $5.99 59 52% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,602) Nimos Games
Nightfall Empress $14.99 19 84% 570 $8.5k (exactly $8,544) SEEP
UnPlugged $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) DemonLabs Interactive
Neon Sunset $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Sombra $5.99 14 92% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) SytoDev
Quest of Dungeloria $4.99 16 100% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) From Future Games
The Pilgrim's Progress $24.99 1 100% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Elvio Lujan
Rootborn $4.99 5 80% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Goloblia Konstantin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.