Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Noir
Should I ship a Noir Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Noir
Only 13 developers shipped a Noir Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Shana - Priestess of Tona, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 13 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $359 (exactly $359) |
| Top 25% | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) |
| Top 5% | $57k (exactly $56,943) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 27 |
| Announced | 13 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Noir
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $6.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 9 games average 72% positive over 289 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 13 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
Shana - Priestess of Tona 2025 · $57k 
Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire 2024 · $25k 
The Cabinets of Doctor Arcana 2018 · $16k 
ACCIDENTALLY 2025 · $12k 
Doctor Arcana and The Secret of Shadowspire 2024 · $6.3k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shana - Priestess of Tona | $9.99 | 190 74% | 5.7k | $57k (exactly $56,943) | Lustration Team | |
| | Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire | $19.99 | 41 70% | 1.2k | $25k (exactly $24,588) | Schell Games | |
| | The Cabinets of Doctor Arcana | older | $9.99 | 53 92% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,884) | Monolith Graphics, The Hideout |
| | ACCIDENTALLY | $12.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $12k (exactly $11,691) | M&K WORKS | |
| | Doctor Arcana and The Secret of Shadowspire | $14.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Monolith Graphics, The Hideout | |
 | Dark Daemon | older | $3.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $1.6k (exactly $1,556) | 东风吹 |
 | Moving Shadows | older | $4.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Ethan Harris-Austin |
 | Upirja | older | $4.99 | 8 100% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Sgriu Soft |
 | Volvalis | · EA older | $29.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $900 (exactly $900) | Zoneisoft |
 | Locked In | $5.99 | 5 40% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | Gerch Interactive | |
 | MAZE: A VR Adventure | older | $5.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $898 (exactly $898) | GLGames |
 | 虚妄之言 Hollow Life And INsincere Words | $8.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | 暴躁猫工作室 | |
 | The Night of Escape | $3.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $359 (exactly $359) | LiTang | |
 | Pixel Way: Prologue | $4.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $299 (exactly $299) | Levelborn | |
 | Agents of Shadow | $6.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $210 (exactly $210) | Hoffnung Haydn | |
 | Escape from the Archives | $1.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Brad Wright |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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