Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Nature
Should I ship a Nature Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Nature
Only 10 developers shipped a Nature Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SUBMERSIBLE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $59 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 20 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $59 (exactly $59) |
| Top 25% | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
| Top 5% | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 20 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Nature
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon
- Price point
- $5.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 6 games average 64% positive over 25 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
Hourglass 2021 · $199k 
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance 2022 · $60k 
ZOR: Pilgrimage of the Slorfs 2022 · EA · $21k 
Cave Quest 2 2021 · $20k 
No Parachute 2021 · $17k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Hourglass | older | $19.99 | 331 88% | 9.9k | $199k (exactly $198,501) | Cyberwave |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance | older | $13.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $60k (exactly $59,597) | Quacky Games |
| | ZOR: Pilgrimage of the Slorfs | · EA older | $15.99 | 43 90% | 1.3k | $21k (exactly $20,627) | Righteous Hammer Games |
| | Cave Quest 2 | older | $12.99 | 52 92% | 1.6k | $20k (exactly $20,264) | MD Studio |
| | No Parachute | older | $4.99 | 116 89% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,365) | Wherry |
 | Epics of Distant Realm: Holy Return | older | $0.99 | 195 83% | 5.9k | $5.8k (exactly $5,792) | Emir Suleiman, Tayfun Tuna |
 | SUBMERSIBLE | $8.99 | 10 80% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | CJB Games | |
 | The Mirum | older | $3.99 | 20 70% | 600 | $2.4k (exactly $2,394) | Arbatskii Anatolii |
 | Richard West and the Golden Mask | older | $3.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | Day Art's Games |
 | Princess Sera adventures | older | $4.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Shadow Conspiracy Entertainment |
 | Valenium | $10.99 | 5 20% | 150 | $1.6k (exactly $1,648) | Need3RD | |
 | SAE | · EA | $12.99 | 3 0% | 90 | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) | SAE GAMES |
 | Arena II | $3.95 | 3 100% | 90 | $356 (exactly $356) | 30 Minute Games | |
 | Vulpestale | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | BurningGRP | |
 | Taking Honey | $0.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $59 (exactly $59) | LightStudios | |
 | Bots N-BLOOM | $3.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Team Bladesong | |
 | The Secret of Island of Fear | $10.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Hamza sonay, Yusuf sonay, Mustafa baş | |
 | Zwamman | $5.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Baardmoeder | |
 | Betrayal at Paragon | $4.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Yurta Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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