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Should I ship a Mythological Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Mythology
Only 17 developers shipped a Mythological Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $5.3M, ×8497 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) |
| Top 5% | $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 49 |
| Announced | 26 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mythology
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 4,898 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M 
Stonemachia 2026 · $746k 
Diggles: The Myth of Fenris 2020 · $186k 
Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew 2021 · $73k 
Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance 2022 · $60k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy | $49.99 | 3,558 92% | 107k | $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) | Asobo Studio | |
| | Stonemachia | $19.99 | 1,244 95% | 37k | $746k (exactly $746,027) | Crossfall Games | |
| | Diggles: The Myth of Fenris | older | $9.99 | 619 89% | 19k | $186k (exactly $185,514) | Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, Genera… (Spieleentwicklungskombinat GmbH, General Arcade) |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Phoenix Crew | older | $13.99 | 173 78% | 5.2k | $73k (exactly $72,608) | Quacky Games |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance | older | $13.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $60k (exactly $59,597) | Quacky Games |
 | ARKOS | older | $9.99 | 179 78% | 5.4k | $54k (exactly $53,646) | RetroSouls |
 | Sex with Succubus ❤️🔥 | older | $9.99 | 176 50% | 5.3k | $53k (exactly $52,747) | Octo Games |
 | Jung's Labyrinth | older | $14.99 | 65 70% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $29,230) | Jan Jileček |
 | No Man's Island | older | $9.99 | 27 40% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Rif Game Studio |
 | Homeland | older | $5.99 | 40 65% | 1.2k | $7.2k (exactly $7,188) | HeadHunters games |
 | Doctor Arcana and The Secret of Shadowspire | $14.99 | 14 100% | 420 | $6.3k (exactly $6,296) | Monolith Graphics, The Hideout | |
 | Goddess Scroll - The Last Starlight | $9.99 | 11 27% | 330 | $3.3k (exactly $3,297) | Revenge Red Eyes | |
 | ORPHEUS: TO HELL AND BACK | $2.99 | 25 68% | 750 | $2.2k (exactly $2,242) | StudioLoading, Kibou Entertainment, Alu… (StudioLoading, Kibou Entertainment, Alunite,Inc.) | |
 | Directory Dungeon - File Explorer Dungeon Crawler | $1.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $2.0k (exactly $1,970) | JuhrJuhr | |
 | Rod of Asclepius | $19.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) | Worcco Arts | |
 | The Fellowship of Infinity | $10.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $1.3k (exactly $1,319) | Nicholas Bochenek | |
 | Tower Survivor | $9.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | DIG Games | |
 | Six Seals | $3.99 | 4 75% | 120 | $479 (exactly $479) | Horrawr |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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