Games › Tactical RPG › Tactical RPG + Mystery
Should I ship a Mystery Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Mystery
Of 36 developers who shipped a Mystery Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×201 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 64 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.3k (exactly $1,348) |
| Top 25% | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) |
| Top 5% | $126k (exactly $126,366) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 36 |
| Released games | 90 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Turn-Based Tactics
- Price point
- $8.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.
The top 10 games average 94% positive over 2,221 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Tactical Breach Wizards 2024 · $6.9M 
Digimon Survive 2022 · $5.6M 
Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery 2024 · $3.6M 
Escape from Ever After 2026 · $1.2M 
Wintermoor Tactics Club 2020 · $242k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Tactical Breach Wizards | older | $19.99 | 11,485 97% | 345k | $6.9M (exactly $6,887,554) | Suspicious Developments |
| | Digimon Survive | older | $59.99 | 3,124 78% | 94k | $5.6M (exactly $5,622,263) | HYDE, Inc. |
| | Reverse Collapse: Code Name Bakery | older | $24.99 | 4,861 78% | 146k | $3.6M (exactly $3,644,292) | Shanghai Sunborn Network Technology Co.… (Shanghai Sunborn Network Technology Co., Ltd.) |
| | Escape from Ever After | $24.99 | 1,537 96% | 46k | $1.2M (exactly $1,152,289) | Sleepy Castle Studio, Wing-It! Creative | |
| | Wintermoor Tactics Club | older | $14.99 | 538 87% | 16k | $242k (exactly $241,939) | EVC Games |
 | Masquerada: Songs and Shadows | older | $19.99 | 348 88% | 10k | $209k (exactly $208,696) | Witching Hour Studios |
 | King of the Bridge | older | $2.99 | 1,667 95% | 50k | $150k (exactly $149,530) | Finn Schuuring |
 | Deified | · EA | $14.99 | 281 96% | 8.4k | $126k (exactly $126,366) | Unexpected |
 | Caves of Lore | older | $9.99 | 408 93% | 12k | $122k (exactly $122,278) | by Mike Robins |
 | Black Legend | older | $19.99 | 172 62% | 5.2k | $103k (exactly $103,148) | Warcave |
 | Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Tactical Takedown | $19.99 | 160 89% | 4.8k | $96k (exactly $95,952) | Strange Scaffold | |
 | Dissimilar | $18.99 | 29 89% | 870 | $17k (exactly $16,521) | Opal Grave Games | |
 | Deadlock Station | $9.99 | 55 80% | 1.7k | $16k (exactly $16,484) | Luxorix Games | |
 | Encounter: The Lost Cards | $12.99 | 38 68% | 1.1k | $15k (exactly $14,809) | Salvatore Grosso | |
 | Prison Notes | $9.99 | 38 94% | 1.1k | $11k (exactly $11,389) | 闻岚工坊（Vinland Studio） | |
 | diffiCULT | · EA | $4.99 | 52 94% | 1.6k | $7.8k (exactly $7,784) | Ouz Games |
 | Expedition: Shadow World | $15.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $5.8k (exactly $5,756) | Pavel Tanonov | |
 | Climber Girl | $7.99 | 19 36% | 570 | $4.6k (exactly $4,554) | AlterLab Development |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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