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Should I ship a Mystery Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Mystery
Of 115 developers who shipped a Mystery Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 110 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 58 developers shipped in the last year and 110 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $90 (exactly $90) |
|---|---|
| Median | $300 (exactly $300) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,397) |
| Top 5% | $31k (exactly $31,029) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 115 |
| Released games | 269 |
| Announced | 110 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Mystery
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 4,914 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $90. Nearly all of the 66 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 110 games are announced against 58 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy | $49.99 | 3,558 92% | 107k | $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) | Asobo Studio | |
| | The Classrooms | · EA older | $12.99 | 3,040 89% | 91k | $1.2M (exactly $1,184,688) | Xefier Games, Hillcrest Games Inc. |
| | The Coma 2B: Catacomb | $14.99 | 584 75% | 18k | $263k (exactly $262,625) | Dvora Studio Co., Ltd. | |
| | Hourglass | older | $19.99 | 331 88% | 9.9k | $199k (exactly $198,501) | Cyberwave |
| | Unmourned | $24.99 | 258 79% | 7.7k | $193k (exactly $193,423) | Codebros Studio | |
| | Embers Adrift | $19.99 | 240 69% | 7.2k | $144k (exactly $143,928) | Stormhaven Studios | |
| | Caves of Lore | older | $9.99 | 408 93% | 12k | $122k (exactly $122,278) | by Mike Robins |
| | Firelight Fantasy: Vengeance | older | $13.99 | 142 79% | 4.3k | $60k (exactly $59,597) | Quacky Games |
| | Somewhere in the Shadow | older | $2.99 | 579 80% | 17k | $52k (exactly $51,936) | Aydy, Nikolay Kulesh |
| | Forbidden Art | older | $14.99 | 96 91% | 2.9k | $43k (exactly $43,171) | AIXLAB |
| | Alisa's Grimoire | $16.99 | 77 87% | 2.3k | $39k (exactly $39,247) | Circle Kurasuke Warehouse | |
| | Sudoku Mansion | $14.99 | 69 98% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | Vault Door Studios | |
| | Silent Slayer: Vault of the Vampire | $19.99 | 41 70% | 1.2k | $25k (exactly $24,588) | Schell Games | |
| | The Strange Story Of Brian Fisher: Chapter 2 | $14.99 | 34 94% | 1.0k | $15k (exactly $15,290) | Intetic | |
| | Abyss: New Dawn | · EA | $24.99 | 19 63% | 570 | $14k (exactly $14,244) | Aloya Productions |
| | ARKOS 2 | $12.99 | 34 91% | 1.0k | $13k (exactly $13,250) | RetroSouls |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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