Do I ship it?

Games › Physics › Physics + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Multiple Endings game?

Physics + Multiple Endings

Of 98 developers who shipped a Physics Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 183 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $65k, ×105 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 183 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 183 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 98
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $539 → $1.5k → $1.2k → $2.6k → $449 → $597 (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 98
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Top 5% $66k (exactly $65,934)
Developers, 2 yr 98
Released games 233
Announced 183
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Multiple Endings; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Choices Matter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 10,544 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $65k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 183 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Contraband Police 2023 · $22M Bugsnax 2022 · $6.5M STAR WARS™ - The Force Unleashed™ Ultimate Sith Edition 2009 · $5.2M Cash Cleaner Simulator 2025 · $4.4M Evil Nun: The Broken Mask 2023 · $650k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Contraband Police older $29.99 24,882 95% 746k $22M (exactly $22,386,335) Crazy Rocks
Bugsnax older $24.99 8,673 97% 260k $6.5M (exactly $6,502,148) Young Horses
STAR WARS™ - The Force Unleashed™ Ultimate Sith Edition older $19.99 8,732 77% 262k $5.2M (exactly $5,236,580) LucasArts
Cash Cleaner Simulator $19.99 7,334 92% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,398,200) Mind Control Games
Evil Nun: The Broken Mask older $19.99 1,084 95% 33k $650k (exactly $650,075) Keplerians, Carlos Coronado
The RPG $14.99 769 86% 23k $346k (exactly $345,819) Dionysus Acroreites
GlitchSPANKR $19.99 275 96% 8.3k $165k (exactly $164,918) Mahelyk, TheClassifiedX
THE MULLER-POWELL PRINCIPLE older $14.99 341 71% 10k $153k (exactly $153,348) Three Dots Games
Exit From older $9.99 489 83% 15k $147k (exactly $146,553) White Box, Elendely
CORPUS EDAX older $14.99 252 75% 7.6k $113k (exactly $113,324) Luis G. Bento
Content King $11.99 293 95% 8.8k $105k (exactly $105,392) Usurper Studios
Curiosity: A Cat Climbing Game $9.99 220 96% 6.6k $66k (exactly $65,934) DarkBear Studios, iNightGaming LLC
iDigging $2.99 729 69% 22k $65k (exactly $65,391) TWEN
Crawling Angels $9.99 202 96% 6.1k $61k (exactly $60,539) ItsTheTalia, Autumn West
Libertine: King of Hearts $19.99 96 85% 2.9k $58k (exactly $57,571) Hasnotalent Media
DEDA $3.00 582 90% 17k $52k (exactly $52,380) deepins corp.
Cognition Method $19.99 44 77% 1.3k $26k (exactly $26,387) Team Cognition

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.