Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Mining

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Mining game?

PvP + Mining

Only 8 developers shipped a PvP Mining game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Quinfall, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×9.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $6.0k against a market of $1.5k. 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 4.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 565% on the market, 36 announced, ×9.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Mining
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $599 → $6.0k → $2.6k
Outcomes for PvP + Mining: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Median $6.0k (exactly $5,997)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $22,178)
Top 5% $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 39
Announced 36
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 565% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 36%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Mining
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Mining
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 31,773 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.7k, median $6.0k, 1 in 4 over $22k, 1 in 20 over $3.6M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×9.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Turmoil older $12.99 13,154 92% 395k $5.1M (exactly $5,126,114) Gamious
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
CryoFall older $19.99 4,905 78% 147k $2.9M (exactly $2,941,528) AtomicTorch Studio
Interstellar Rift older $19.99 1,411 66% 42k $846k (exactly $846,177) Split Polygon
Lost Fleet · EA older $19.99 67 61% 2.0k $40k (exactly $40,180) InfinityNan Studios
DIG Raiders: Anomaly Extraction $9.99 74 86% 2.2k $22k (exactly $22,178) Soda Game Studio
Singularity Survivors · EA older $15.99 27 62% 810 $13k (exactly $12,952) 71 Studios
New Citizen - Alpha · EA older $24.99 14 28% 420 $10k (exactly $10,496) Specpixel Entertainment
Rise - The Vieneo Province older $19.99 16 68% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Unistellar Industries, LLC
Upgradia · EA $9.99 32 65% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Mytharia
Sustained · EA $19.99 10 50% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Iconic Studios
Nuice Industries · EA $7.99 25 96% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) CastleWind
Mineral Madness $7.99 11 90% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Whacky Mole Studio
Mineshaft · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) Z Sculpt Entertainment
Moondrills $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) QnQ Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.