Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based › Turn-Based + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Turn-Based game?

Turn-Based + Mechs

Only 7 developers shipped a Mech Turn-Based game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Mechabellum, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 13 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150k, ×241 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150k; 1 in 20 cleared $8.0M, ×12786 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 240.6 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 13 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Turn-Based + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $141k (exactly $140,972)
Median $151k (exactly $151,124)
Top 25% $864k (exactly $863,654)
Top 5% $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 46
Announced 13
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Turn-Based
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 93,059 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150k, median $150k, 1 in 4 over $860k, 1 in 20 over $8.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $150k. 13 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Asynchronous MultiplayerStrong odds13 devs · median $60k · 10 announced
  2. + DragonsStrong odds7 devs · median $53k · 7 announced
  3. + Hack and SlashStrong odds8 devs · median $14k · 1 announced
  4. + SandboxFair20 devs · median $224k · 19 announced
  5. + HorrorFair16 devs · median $32k · 18 announced
  6. + CraftingFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $10k · 57 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair35 devs · median $2.2k · 32 announced
  10. + ChessFair12 devs · median $1.2k · 13 announced
  11. + Tower DefensePoor odds9 devs · median $294k · 7 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds16 devs · median $193k · 26 announced

All 110 pairs on the Turn-Based page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

BATTLETECH 2018 · $28M SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS 2019 · $12M Super Robot Wars 30 2021 · $10M Into the Breach 2018 · $8.5M Mechabellum 2024 · $8.0M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
BATTLETECH older $39.99 23,024 84% 691k $28M (exactly $27,621,893) Harebrained Schemes
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS older $59.99 6,939 82% 208k $12M (exactly $12,488,118) TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト
Super Robot Wars 30 older $59.99 5,608 85% 168k $10M (exactly $10,092,718) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Into the Breach older $14.99 19,000 94% 570k $8.5M (exactly $8,544,300) Subset Games
Mechabellum $14.99 17,856 84% 536k $8.0M (exactly $8,029,843) Game River
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel older $39.99 5,131 94% 154k $6.2M (exactly $6,155,661) Nihon Falcom
Chained Echoes older $24.99 7,713 88% 231k $5.8M (exactly $5,782,436) Umami Tiger (Matthias Linda)
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel III older $59.99 2,770 92% 83k $5.0M (exactly $4,985,169) Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH)
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel IV older $59.99 2,272 91% 68k $4.1M (exactly $4,088,918) Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 G… (Nihon Falcom, Engine Software BV, PH3 GmbH)
The Legend of Heroes: Trails of Cold Steel II older $39.99 2,746 92% 82k $3.3M (exactly $3,294,376) Nihon Falcom
Metal Slug Tactics $24.99 1,152 76% 35k $864k (exactly $863,654) Leikir Studio
NITRO GEN OMEGA $29.99 398 83% 12k $358k (exactly $358,081) DESTINYbit
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
R-Type Tactics I • II Cosmos $49.99 94 82% 2.8k $141k (exactly $140,972) Granzella Inc.
Repel The Rifts · EA $12.99 347 85% 10k $135k (exactly $135,226) RefinedBearGames
Deep Fringe · EA $19.99 45 88% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bosoneon Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.