Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Mechs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Mech Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Mechs

Only 12 developers shipped a Mech Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metal Slug Tactics, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×4.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $860k, ×1375 the market median. Revenue is up 1515% on the market; 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 1515% on the market, 34 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Mechs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $28k → $63k (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Mechs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $629 (exactly $629)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 25% $151k (exactly $151,124)
Top 5% $864k (exactly $863,654)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 41
Announced 34
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $18.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1515% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Mechs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Tactical RPG
Price point
$18.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,910 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $860k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS older $59.99 6,939 82% 208k $12M (exactly $12,488,118) TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト
Super Robot Wars 30 older $59.99 5,608 85% 168k $10M (exactly $10,092,718) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Star Renegades older $24.99 2,673 82% 80k $2.0M (exactly $2,003,948) Massive Damage, Inc.
Chroma Squad older $14.99 2,913 95% 87k $1.3M (exactly $1,309,976) Behold Studios
Metal Slug Tactics $24.99 1,152 76% 35k $864k (exactly $863,654) Leikir Studio
NITRO GEN OMEGA $29.99 398 83% 12k $358k (exactly $358,081) DESTINYbit
Wolfstride older $14.99 780 89% 23k $351k (exactly $350,766) OTA IMON Studios
Templar Battleforce older $9.99 931 92% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) Trese Brothers
Sunrider 4: The Captain's Return older $29.99 264 88% 7.9k $238k (exactly $237,521) Love in Space
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
STARBITES $49.99 42 64% 1.3k $63k (exactly $62,987) IKINAGAMES
Deep Fringe · EA $19.99 45 88% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bosoneon Studio
Elohim Eternal II: Son of Man $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) George Alexandros
Oath of Steel $18.99 4 0% 120 $2.3k (exactly $2,279) Ling Jun
Crossed Commands: Collision · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) SlightQuartz
Soul•Last Bastion $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Ferrous: Digital Edition · EA $15.99 1 100% 30 $480 (exactly $480) Sasori Zero Labs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.