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Should I ship a Mech Physics game?
Physics + Mechs
Of 20 developers who shipped a Mech Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $570k, ×922 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 32 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.2k (exactly $1,169) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) |
| Top 25% | $38k (exactly $37,775) |
| Top 5% | $579k (exactly $578,768) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 53 |
| Announced | 32 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $12.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Physics; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Simulation
- Price point
- $12.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, VR
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $12.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 2,400 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
Phantom Brigade 2023 · $4.0M 
UNDERDOGS 2024 · $2.5M 
Vox Machinae 2022 · $1.1M 
Instruments of Destruction 2024 · $857k 
IRON REBELLION 2024 · $579k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Phantom Brigade | older | $29.99 | 4,412 81% | 132k | $4.0M (exactly $3,969,476) | Brace Yourself Games |
| | UNDERDOGS | older | $29.99 | 2,788 97% | 84k | $2.5M (exactly $2,508,364) | One Hamsa |
| | Vox Machinae | older | $29.99 | 1,177 87% | 35k | $1.1M (exactly $1,058,947) | Space Bullet Dynamics Corporation |
| | Instruments of Destruction | older | $19.99 | 1,429 91% | 43k | $857k (exactly $856,971) | Radiangames |
| | IRON REBELLION | $24.99 | 772 84% | 23k | $579k (exactly $578,768) | Black Beach Studio | |
 | Intrusion 2 | older | $9.99 | 1,667 93% | 50k | $500k (exactly $499,600) | Aleksei Abramenko |
 | Mech Mechanic Simulator | older | $19.99 | 538 61% | 16k | $323k (exactly $322,639) | Polyslash |
 | Monster: Titan's Playground | · EA | $29.99 | 273 91% | 8.2k | $246k (exactly $245,618) | Stellar Knights |
 | Mech Havoc | · EA | $9.99 | 813 96% | 24k | $244k (exactly $243,656) | Mid Development |
 | ACTION SANDBOX | older | $9.99 | 787 73% | 24k | $236k (exactly $235,864) | Vona Soft |
 | Age Of Warbots | $9.99 | 160 83% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $47,952) | VDimension | |
 | Electro Bop Boxing League | $14.99 | 84 79% | 2.5k | $38k (exactly $37,775) | Developer Dob | |
 | Haneda Girl | $14.99 | 74 94% | 2.2k | $33k (exactly $33,278) | Studio Koba | |
 | Ironsand | $7.49 | 142 68% | 4.3k | $32k (exactly $31,907) | Renderise | |
 | Titan Isles | $24.99 | 40 95% | 1.2k | $30k (exactly $29,988) | Psytec Games Ltd | |
 | Fast Royal | $14.99 | 30 100% | 900 | $13k (exactly $13,491) | Edos Interactive | |
 | Typhon: Bot vs Bot | · EA | $19.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $7.2k (exactly $7,196) | Brightshade Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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