Games › Physics › Physics + Match 3
Should I ship a Physics Match 3?
Physics + Match 3
Of 37 developers who shipped a Physics Match 3 in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $148 (exactly $148) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) |
| Top 5% | $212k (exactly $212,188) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 37 |
| Released games | 94 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $3.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics, Match 3; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Arcade, Score Attack
- Price point
- $3.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.50 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, Cute
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $8.50 or above; the middle game at $3.99.
The top 10 games average 89% positive over 4,601 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
POPUCOM 2025 · $2.1M 
Zuma Deluxe 2006 · $970k 
Dogpile 2025 · $212k 
Tumblebugs 2022 · $74k 
PancitoMerge 2025 · $38k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | POPUCOM | $19.99 | 3,432 87% | 103k | $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170) | Hypergryph | |
| | Zuma Deluxe | older | $4.99 | 6,481 95% | 194k | $970k (exactly $970,206) | PopCap Games, Inc. |
| | Dogpile | $9.99 | 708 95% | 21k | $212k (exactly $212,188) | Studio Folly, Toot Games, Foot | |
| | Tumblebugs | older | $19.99 | 123 91% | 3.7k | $74k (exactly $73,763) | Wildfire Studios |
| | PancitoMerge | $7.99 | 158 99% | 4.7k | $38k (exactly $37,873) | Fáyer, Sketchy Ceviche | |
 | Rainbow Reactor | older | $14.99 | 71 94% | 2.1k | $32k (exactly $31,929) | Tunermaxx Media GmbH, Muikkumedia Oy |
 | sobosuba | $3.99 | 178 99% | 5.3k | $21k (exactly $21,307) | keepeetron | |
 | Tiny Bubbles | older | $9.99 | 44 90% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $13,187) | Pine Street Codeworks LLC |
 | Candy Blast | older | $4.99 | 82 78% | 2.5k | $12k (exactly $12,275) | White Rabbit Games |
 | Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep | older | $6.99 | 57 82% | 1.7k | $12k (exactly $11,953) | Alder Games |
 | Slime Soup | $4.99 | 50 90% | 1.5k | $7.5k (exactly $7,485) | VANDERMAESEN GAMES | |
 | Spire Blast | $6.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | Orbital Knight | |
 | Zooika | $4.99 | 18 100% | 540 | $2.7k (exactly $2,695) | Graphic Reality | |
 | Witchpop | $8.50 | 10 100% | 300 | $2.6k (exactly $2,550) | Havlark Games | |
 | Pinball Hero | $3.99 | 17 76% | 510 | $2.0k (exactly $2,035) | COSO | |
 | Popcorn Fever | $4.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $1.9k (exactly $1,946) | Yunicorn Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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