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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Martial Arts
Only 15 developers shipped a Martial-Arts Tactical RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ascend From Nine Mountains, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $5.9k, ×9.5 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $190k, ×309 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $5.9k (exactly $5,935) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,282) |
| Top 5% | $194k (exactly $194,303) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 15 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 31 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Tactical RPG
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 804 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
Legend of Mortal 2024 · $20M 
江湖十一 2023 · $2.9M 
Punch Club 2: Fast Forward 2023 · $2.3M 
英雄群侠传II 2019 · $756k 
Swords and Sandals Immortals 2023 · $380k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Legend of Mortal | older | $19.99 | 33,730 77% | 1.0M | $20M (exactly $20,227,881) | Obb Studio Inc. |
| | 江湖十一 | older | $17.99 | 5,385 42% | 162k | $2.9M (exactly $2,906,284) | 万象皆春 |
| | Punch Club 2: Fast Forward | older | $19.99 | 3,808 81% | 114k | $2.3M (exactly $2,283,658) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | 英雄群侠传II | older | $11.99 | 2,103 88% | 63k | $756k (exactly $756,449) | 熊窝dodox |
| | Swords and Sandals Immortals | older | $11.99 | 1,056 84% | 32k | $380k (exactly $379,843) | Whiskeybarrel Studios |
 | 下一站江湖Ⅰ | older | $19.99 | 581 72% | 17k | $348k (exactly $348,426) | 白玉京工作室 |
 | Earthling's Undertaking | older | $10.99 | 930 64% | 28k | $307k (exactly $306,621) | Current Games |
 | Ascend From Nine Mountains | · EA | $19.99 | 324 92% | 9.7k | $194k (exactly $194,303) | Nine Ascension Studios |
 | Liu Shan Maker | older | $9.99 | 285 74% | 8.6k | $85k (exactly $85,414) | Xian |
 | Swords and Sandals 3 Redux | $9.99 | 233 87% | 7.0k | $70k (exactly $69,830) | Whiskeybarrel Studios | |
 | Wings of Empire | · EA | $14.99 | 49 87% | 1.5k | $22k (exactly $22,035) | Droid Productions |
 | 神魔决之江湖行 | $9.99 | 61 81% | 1.8k | $18k (exactly $18,282) | 水狗工作室 | |
 | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR | |
 | Demonslayer AKA Me | $7.99 | 34 73% | 1.0k | $8.2k (exactly $8,150) | 晶尘工作室 | |
 | 鸿运修仙传 | $5.99 | 34 76% | 1.0k | $6.1k (exactly $6,110) | 玉米工作室 | |
 | 荡天下 | $10.99 | 18 61% | 540 | $5.9k (exactly $5,935) | Herry013, Herry013 | |
 | Boundless AI Fantasy | $9.99 | 8 87% | 240 | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) | João Vitor Andrioli de Souza | |
 | Warrior Spirits | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | Reignite Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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