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Should I ship a Martial-Arts Physics game?
Physics + Martial Arts
Of 24 developers who shipped a Martial-Arts Physics game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×876 the market median. Revenue is up 95% on the market; 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.8k (exactly $1,799) |
| Top 25% | $19k (exactly $19,311) |
| Top 5% | $550k (exactly $550,216) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 71 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Martial Arts
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Physics; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, 3D Fighter
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 52,271 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 8 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO 2024 · $76M 
Hellish Quart 2021 · EA · $4.4M 
Overgrowth 2017 · $3.7M 
RUMBLE 2022 · EA · $2.4M 
Boomerang Fu 2020 · $812k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO | $49.99 | 50,395 86% | 1.5M | $76M (exactly $75,577,382) | Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd. | |
| | Hellish Quart | · EA older | $17.99 | 8,068 88% | 242k | $4.4M (exactly $4,354,300) | Kubold |
| | Overgrowth | older | $19.99 | 6,202 86% | 186k | $3.7M (exactly $3,719,339) | Wolfire Games |
| | RUMBLE | · EA older | $24.99 | 3,158 87% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,367,553) | Buckethead Entertainment |
| | Boomerang Fu | older | $14.99 | 1,805 97% | 54k | $812k (exactly $811,708) | Cranky Watermelon |
 | Gladio Mori | $15.99 | 1,147 82% | 34k | $550k (exactly $550,216) | Plebeian Studio | |
 | Project Demigod | older | $19.99 | 397 69% | 12k | $238k (exactly $238,081) | Omnifarious Studios LLC |
 | The Last Soldier of the Ming Dynasty | older | $14.99 | 415 78% | 12k | $187k (exactly $186,626) | Circuit_Art |
 | Dragon Fist: VR Kung Fu | older | $19.99 | 305 95% | 9.2k | $183k (exactly $182,908) | Ben Olding Games |
 | Tactic Boxing | older | $9.99 | 416 77% | 12k | $125k (exactly $124,675) | Stately Eagle Games |
 | Last Drop | · EA | $13.99 | 278 87% | 8.3k | $117k (exactly $116,677) | Lohkare Games Oy |
 | Elements Divided | $14.99 | 137 86% | 4.1k | $62k (exactly $61,609) | Loco Motion Devs | |
 | Tales Of Glory 3 : Fists of Legend | $19.99 | 34 88% | 1.0k | $20k (exactly $20,390) | BlackTale Games | |
 | Finnish Cabin Mayhem - Mökkimähinä | $4.99 | 129 94% | 3.9k | $19k (exactly $19,311) | Sophisticated keppana enjoyers | |
 | Boxing Simulator | $7.99 | 79 79% | 2.4k | $19k (exactly $18,936) | Inogames | |
 | We Could Be Heroes | $14.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $18,887) | CebCode Games | |
 | Kick'n Hell | $7.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | Fire Foot Studios | |
 | Prop Sumo | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | Barrel Roll Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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