Should I ship a Mars RPG?
RPG + Mars
Only 4 developers shipped a Mars RPG in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 8 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 8 more are announced, ×8.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 0 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $750 against a market of $630. 8 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $2.4k (exactly $2,398) |
| Top 5% | $3.2k (exactly $3,237) |
| Developers, 4 yr | 8 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 8 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: too few recent games to read.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 7,315 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 8 games are announced against 0 developers who shipped in the last year, ×8.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
The Technomancer 2016 · $686k 
Tharsis 2016 · $647k 
Mars: War Logs 2013 · $367k 
Gaia Beyond 2020 · $108k 
UFO: Afterlight 2014 · $77k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Technomancer | older | $9.99 | 2,288 68% | 69k | $686k (exactly $685,714) | Spiders |
| | Tharsis | older | $14.99 | 1,438 71% | 43k | $647k (exactly $646,669) | Choice Provisions |
| | Mars: War Logs | older | $4.99 | 2,450 75% | 74k | $367k (exactly $366,765) | Spiders |
| | Gaia Beyond | older | $14.99 | 240 73% | 7.2k | $108k (exactly $107,928) | Warp Turtle |
| | UFO: Afterlight | older | $6.99 | 368 70% | 11k | $77k (exactly $77,170) | Altar Games |
 | Star Rangers™ XE | · EA older | $11.99 | 118 28% | 3.5k | $42k (exactly $42,445) | Project Whitecard Studios Inc., NASA (S… (Project Whitecard Studios Inc., NASA (Some Models)) |
 | Mars Colony:Challenger | older | $4.99 | 114 64% | 3.4k | $17k (exactly $17,066) | HyperKat Games |
 | INTERSTELLAR PRIME | · EA older | $9.99 | 44 52% | 1.3k | $13k (exactly $13,187) | Dreamcatcher Studio |
 | CosmoOdyssey:Trip to Mars | older | $1.99 | 150 92% | 4.5k | $9.0k (exactly $8,955) | Brenntkopf Development |
 | MILF HUNTER | older | $1.99 | 105 91% | 3.2k | $6.3k (exactly $6,268) | Milk Poison |
 | Psychedelia: The Psychonaut | $17.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $2.2k (exactly $2,159) | Rohan Chapman von Wedel | |
 | Super Gorilla Quest 2: A Space Chimpanzee | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Wither Games | |
 | Journey to Earth | $2.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $179 (exactly $179) | Digital Kingdom | |
 | COLONY 13 - Into The Void | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | 3M SOUND A STUDIO |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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