Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen RPG?

RPG + Split Screen

Of 28 developers who shipped a Split Screen RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is flat on the market; 31 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 31 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $68k → $16k → $0 → $1.5k → $12k → $0 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,425)
Top 5% $143k (exactly $142,941)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 86
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Split Screen; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action RPG, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $140k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  7. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  9. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  10. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  11. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced
  12. + Turn-BasedPoor odds208 devs · median $27k · 294 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition older $39.99 27,485 88% 825k $33M (exactly $32,973,754) Larian Studios
Outward Definitive Edition older $39.99 24,636 72% 739k $30M (exactly $29,555,809) Nine Dots Studio
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 older $39.99 17,281 91% 518k $21M (exactly $20,732,016) Koei Tecmo
The Ascent older $29.99 19,235 74% 577k $17M (exactly $17,305,730) Neon Giant
Darksiders Genesis older $29.99 10,379 82% 311k $9.3M (exactly $9,337,986) Airship Syndicate
Barony older $19.99 12,714 90% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,624,586) Turning Wheel LLC
One Piece Burning Blood older $49.99 3,751 81% 113k $5.6M (exactly $5,625,375) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
LEGO® The Hobbit™ older $19.99 5,086 78% 153k $3.1M (exactly $3,050,074) Traveller's Tales, Feral Interactive (M… (Traveller's Tales, Feral Interactive (Mac))
Hellpoint older $34.99 2,582 76% 77k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,325) Cradle Games
The LEGO® Movie - Videogame older $19.99 3,626 86% 109k $2.2M (exactly $2,174,512) TT Fusion, Traveller's Tales
Cinnabunny $24.99 403 96% 12k $302k (exactly $302,129) Reky Studios
DunHero $8.99 530 89% 16k $143k (exactly $142,941) Dev Kacper
Taival · EA $19.99 134 83% 4.0k $80k (exactly $80,360) Bonobo Software
Amelia and the Erotic Tentacle Trap Dungeon · EA $10.99 175 66% 5.3k $58k (exactly $57,698) Studio SilverMoon
Sword of the Necromancer: Resurrection $24.99 38 86% 1.1k $28k (exactly $28,489) Grimorio of Games
Bonelords $6.99 94 92% 2.8k $20k (exactly $19,712) Z0 Game Studios
Live Hard, Die Hard $4.99 83 89% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) Asobism.Co.,Ltd
Ultimate Blacksmith Tycoon ~The Appraiser-Shopkeeper Conquers the Blacksmith Trade~ · EA $14.99 15 80% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Quench Forge
Only Out $4.99 40 95% 1.2k $6.0k (exactly $5,988) Shark Studio
Idle Inferno $5.99 30 60% 900 $5.4k (exactly $5,391) TUNA TUN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.