Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing RPG?

Combat Racing + RPG

Of 22 developers who shipped a Combat Racing RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is up 370% on the market; 28 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 370% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $1.1k → $570 → $1.8k → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,838)
Top 5% $43k (exactly $42,906)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 66
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 370% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Racing
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 15,698 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $3.8k, 1 in 20 over $42k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  7. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  8. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  9. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tokyo Xtreme Racer 2025 · $23M SAND LAND 2024 · $1.8M Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) 2021 · $920k Bloody Rally Show 2020 · $149k Nautical Survival 2026 · $43k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tokyo Xtreme Racer $49.99 15,284 93% 459k $23M (exactly $22,921,415) Genki Co., Ltd.
SAND LAND older $59.99 1,018 86% 31k $1.8M (exactly $1,832,095) ILCA, Inc.
Rustler (Grand Theft Horse) older $24.99 1,227 78% 37k $920k (exactly $919,882) Jutsu Games
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
惊险极速 · EA older $6.99 91 97% 2.7k $19k (exactly $19,083) 个人
Dryft City Kyngs older $20.00 30 100% 900 $18k (exactly $18,000) magicdweedoo, Nonsense Machine
WATTGAMES · EA $24.99 13 84% 390 $9.7k (exactly $9,746) TripleScience Software
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Tides of The Endless · EA $7.99 25 84% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Shimmer High Sea
LivingForest $15.99 8 62% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) LivingEveryday
Just Move Fall Dungeon Endless Abyss $15.99 8 50% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) daminggede
Racer Overdrive $5.99 18 88% 540 $3.2k (exactly $3,235) IntActive
MEMOLOGY: Absurd racing $0.99 59 94% 1.8k $1.8k (exactly $1,752) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm
Sengodai $9.99 5 40% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) Tsunoa Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.