Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Management Stealth game?

Stealth + Management

Of 30 developers who shipped a Management Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×6.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $6.7M, ×10803 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 67 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 45% on the market, 67 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 30
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $959 → $1.2k → $28k → $2.1k → $21k (still earning) → $776 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 30
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,896)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,045)
Top 5% $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035)
Developers, 2 yr 30
Released games 62
Announced 67
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Management
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Management; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Crafting, Simulation, Action
Price point
$6.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.00.

The top 10 games average 97% positive over 300,027 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $6.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 6 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Schedule I · EA $19.99 288,939 97% 8.7M $173M (exactly $173,276,718) TVGS
Kenshi older $29.99 98,451 95% 3.0M $89M (exactly $88,576,365) Lo-Fi Games
This War of Mine older $19.99 81,804 93% 2.5M $49M (exactly $49,057,859) 11 bit studios
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days · EA $24.99 9,049 89% 271k $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) PikPok
Phantom Doctrine older $39.99 3,821 73% 115k $4.6M (exactly $4,584,054) CreativeForge Games
Siege Survival: Gloria Victis older $24.99 1,367 79% 41k $1.0M (exactly $1,024,840) Black Eye Games
Dirty Business · EA $14.99 906 75% 27k $407k (exactly $407,428) Plan Dirty Games
I Know a Guy: Shady Life Simulator · EA $12.99 398 90% 12k $155k (exactly $155,101) Bunch'o'Nerds
Crime Shop Simulator: A Prison Boss Game $19.99 157 85% 4.7k $94k (exactly $94,153) TREBUCHET
SERIES MAKERS TYCOON older $4.99 514 71% 15k $77k (exactly $76,946) CREW Studio Krüger UG
ZOMBUTCHER: Monster Business Simulator $12.99 135 69% 4.1k $53k (exactly $52,610) ODIUS
The Brewline $9.99 110 84% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) Alcora Games
Find or be Found $7.99 117 69% 3.5k $28k (exactly $28,045) Studio Downstairs
Besmirch · EA $9.99 79 97% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Gangru Games
FULL METAL COFFIN $4.99 137 94% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) Titanite, Mantle Array, Xenith

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.