Games › Physics › Physics + Lovecraftian
Should I ship a Lovecraftian Physics game?
Physics + Lovecraftian
Only 11 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Physics game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, We Gotta Go, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.7k, ×7.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $71k, ×113 the market median. Revenue is up 350% on the market; 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $16,519) |
| Top 5% | $71k (exactly $71,029) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 41 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $8.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Physics
- effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Physics
- Price point
- $8.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 78% positive over 599 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $2.7k. 34 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Physics with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds
- + Dating SimFair
- + PinballFair
- + World War IIFair
- + Mini GolfFair
- + GolfFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Hidden ObjectFair
- + CatsFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + BilliardsFair
Comparable games
CARRION 2020 · $20M 
Amnesia: The Dark Descent 2010 · $12M 
Amnesia: Rebirth 2020 · $7.1M 
Gloomwood 2022 · EA · $4.5M 
CULTIC 2022 · $2.4M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | CARRION | older | $19.99 | 33,270 94% | 998k | $20M (exactly $19,952,019) | Phobia Game Studio |
| | Amnesia: The Dark Descent | older | $19.99 | 20,420 95% | 613k | $12M (exactly $12,245,874) | Frictional Games |
| | Amnesia: Rebirth | older | $29.99 | 7,894 77% | 237k | $7.1M (exactly $7,102,232) | Frictional Games |
| | Gloomwood | · EA older | $19.99 | 7,495 95% | 225k | $4.5M (exactly $4,494,752) | Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Be… (Dillon Rogers, David Szymanski, Nate Berens, Thomas Porta) |
| | CULTIC | older | $9.99 | 8,027 97% | 241k | $2.4M (exactly $2,405,692) | Jasozz Games |
 | Source of Madness | older | $19.99 | 1,410 69% | 42k | $846k (exactly $845,577) | Carry Castle |
 | The Baby In Yellow | · EA older | $8.99 | 2,340 96% | 70k | $631k (exactly $631,098) | Team Terrible |
 | Feed the Deep | older | $6.99 | 460 88% | 14k | $96k (exactly $96,462) | Luke Muscat |
 | Morkredd | older | $19.99 | 158 71% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Hyper Games |
 | Batbarian: Testament of the Primordials | older | $14.99 | 210 80% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $94,437) | Unspeakable Pixels |
 | We Gotta Go | $9.99 | 237 60% | 7.1k | $71k (exactly $71,029) | FuzzyBot | |
 | SmashCore | $4.99 | 122 94% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,263) | Braian | |
 | SECTOR ZERO | $3.99 | 138 93% | 4.1k | $17k (exactly $16,519) | Ondrej Angelovic | |
 | CTHULOOT | $14.99 | 32 81% | 960 | $14k (exactly $14,390) | Pixelnest Studio, Headbang Club | |
 | Hell Cleaners | · EA | $14.99 | 15 60% | 450 | $6.7k (exactly $6,746) | WFP Entertainment |
 | Eldritch Climb: A Cursed Ascent | · EA | $12.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $4.7k (exactly $4,676) | Covert Wonders |
 | MEATHOOK | $6.99 | 20 80% | 600 | $4.2k (exactly $4,194) | Alex Rassloff | |
 | CyberCook | $8.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $2.7k (exactly $2,697) | Vesvese Studios | |
 | A Call From Under the House | $2.99 | 10 90% | 300 | $897 (exactly $897) | Party Crasher Studios | |
 | The Portsmoor Abysm | $8.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | Renons Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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