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Should I ship a Logic Tactical RPG?
Tactical RPG + Logic
Of 28 developers who shipped a Logic Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×94 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 42 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $478 (exactly $478) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.2k (exactly $1,199) |
| Top 25% | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 5% | $59k (exactly $58,911) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 75 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Tactical RPG
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Logic
- effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Tactical RPG, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Management, Puzzle
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,620 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair
- + Mystery DungeonFair
- + Space SimFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + 2D PlatformerFair
- + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds
- + Colony SimPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Turn-BasedPoor odds
- + RobotsPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + WarPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Mind Over Magic | $24.99 | 4,314 86% | 129k | $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) | Sparkypants | |
| | Cobalt Core | older | $19.99 | 4,067 95% | 122k | $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) | Rocket Rat Games |
| | Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics | older | $19.99 | 358 75% | 11k | $215k (exactly $214,693) | Tortuga Team |
| | Lord Ambermaze | $14.99 | 131 91% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Potata Company | |
| | Magic Trap | older | $49.99 | 23 86% | 690 | $34k (exactly $34,493) | Gamesforgames |
| | Super Algebrawl | older | $5.99 | 173 91% | 5.2k | $31k (exactly $31,088) | PUNKCAKE Délicieux |
| | Shards of the Realm | $19.99 | 32 71% | 960 | $19k (exactly $19,190) | Yevhen Rebrakov | |
| | Hyper Empire | $11.99 | 46 78% | 1.4k | $17k (exactly $16,546) | Fair Weather Studios | |
| | NET.CRAWL | $9.99 | 46 95% | 1.4k | $14k (exactly $13,786) | Everyone is Solid | |
| | Fox Golf | older | $19.99 | 15 86% | 450 | $9.0k (exactly $8,996) | Fox Games |
| | Maniac Path 3 | $9.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Gamesforgames | |
| | Emoji Wars | $9.99 | 12 91% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Total | |
| | Hexitten | $14.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $3.1k (exactly $3,148) | Korkea Maki Studios | |
| | Push It! | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | NeuroSlop Studio | |
| | Frog Adventure | $9.99 | 10 100% | 300 | $3.0k (exactly $2,997) | Gamesforgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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