Do I ship it?

GamesTactical RPGTactical RPG + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Tactical RPG?

Tactical RPG + Logic

Of 28 developers who shipped a Logic Tactical RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $58k, ×94 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 42 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 42 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Tactical RPG + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $270 → $1.2k → $9.0k → $1.2k → $19k → $539 (still earning) → $3.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Tactical RPG + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $478 (exactly $478)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $3.6k (exactly $3,596)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,911)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 75
Announced 42
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Tactical RPG, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Management, Puzzle
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,620 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Tactical RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair24 devs · median $9.0k · 29 announced
  2. + Mystery DungeonFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  3. + Space SimFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + Point & ClickFair21 devs · median $839 · 26 announced
  5. + 2D PlatformerFair58 devs · median $599 · 49 announced
  6. + Asynchronous MultiplayerPoor odds10 devs · median $63k · 16 announced
  7. + Colony SimPoor odds16 devs · median $41k · 29 announced
  8. + SandboxPoor odds42 devs · median $20k · 102 announced
  9. + Turn-BasedPoor odds61 devs · median $18k · 81 announced
  10. + RobotsPoor odds15 devs · median $17k · 27 announced
  11. + RomancePoor odds23 devs · median $10k · 38 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds80 devs · median $8.7k · 143 announced

All 145 pairs on the Tactical RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mind Over Magic $24.99 4,314 86% 129k $3.2M (exactly $3,234,206) Sparkypants
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Spaceland: Sci-Fi Indie Tactics older $19.99 358 75% 11k $215k (exactly $214,693) Tortuga Team
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Super Algebrawl older $5.99 173 91% 5.2k $31k (exactly $31,088) PUNKCAKE Délicieux
Shards of the Realm $19.99 32 71% 960 $19k (exactly $19,190) Yevhen Rebrakov
Hyper Empire $11.99 46 78% 1.4k $17k (exactly $16,546) Fair Weather Studios
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid
Fox Golf older $19.99 15 86% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Fox Games
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
Emoji Wars $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Total
Hexitten $14.99 7 100% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Korkea Maki Studios
Push It! $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) NeuroSlop Studio
Frog Adventure $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.