Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Stealth game?

Stealth + Logic

Of 47 developers who shipped a Logic Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $98k, ×156 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 95 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 95 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $239 → $1.6k → $1.0k → $300 → $479 → $748 (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $480 (exactly $480)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 5% $98k (exactly $98,204)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 133
Announced 95
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 4,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $480, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $98k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hello Neighbor: Hide and Seek older $29.99 1,217 87% 37k $1.1M (exactly $1,094,935) Dynamic Pixels
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
ORDER 13 $8.99 1,224 87% 37k $330k (exactly $330,113) Cybernetic Walrus
Ninja Stealth older $4.99 912 76% 27k $137k (exactly $136,526) SC Jogos
Ninja Stealth 2 older $4.99 667 70% 20k $100k (exactly $99,850) SC Jogos
İblis3:Phenomena $12.99 252 56% 7.6k $98k (exactly $98,204) Bulut ULU
Ninja Stealth 3 older $4.99 545 81% 16k $82k (exactly $81,586) SC Jogos
Larcin Lazer older $9.99 241 99% 7.2k $72k (exactly $72,228) Tambouille, Géraud Zucchini
Dream Cage $7.99 298 63% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Hitori De Productions
Felix The Reaper older $9.99 217 80% 6.5k $65k (exactly $65,035) Kong Orange
Iridio $19.99 87 86% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KR Games
Paragnosia $3.99 228 92% 6.8k $27k (exactly $27,292) Sine Coda
Paragnosia: Museum $5.99 139 87% 4.2k $25k (exactly $24,978) Sine Coda
SECTOR ZERO $3.99 138 93% 4.1k $17k (exactly $16,519) Ondrej Angelovic
Time Hacker $14.99 24 70% 720 $11k (exactly $10,793) Joy Way
NULLPTR $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) Jeferson Silva

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.