Do I ship it?

Games › Mystery Dungeon › Mystery Dungeon + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Mystery Dungeon?

Mystery Dungeon + Logic

Of 37 developers who shipped a Logic Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 45 more are announced, ×2.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×0.6 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $59. 45 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper, while revenue is up 80% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 45 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Mystery Dungeon + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.7k → $120 → $1.4k → $3.6k → $90 → $269 → $1.8k (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Mystery Dungeon + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $59k (exactly $58,911)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 120
Announced 45
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Mystery Dungeon
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Mystery Dungeon, Logic; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Adventure, Dungeon Crawler
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 3,989 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $58k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. All of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 45 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGStrong odds43 devs · median $21k · 23 announced
  2. + TacticalStrong odds20 devs · median $2.5k · 15 announced
  3. + Auto BattlerFair17 devs · median $13k · 16 announced
  4. + RomanceFair12 devs · median $5.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Perma DeathFair27 devs · median $2.7k · 29 announced
  6. + Tactical RPGFair30 devs · median $2.4k · 24 announced
  7. + Walking SimulatorFair34 devs · median $1.6k · 35 announced
  8. + SimulationFair57 devs · median $1.3k · 67 announced
  9. + Bullet HellFair14 devs · median $1.0k · 18 announced
  10. + Time ManagementFair11 devs · median $898 · 8 announced
  11. + HistoricalFair7 devs · median $719 · 10 announced
  12. + PhysicsFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced

All 116 pairs on the Mystery Dungeon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M The Light Remake 2020 · $219k Hourglass 2021 · $199k Dungeons of Dreadrock 2022 · $92k Lord Ambermaze 2025 · $59k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
The Light Remake older $4.99 1,462 87% 44k $219k (exactly $218,861) Носков Сергей
Hourglass older $19.99 331 88% 9.9k $199k (exactly $198,501) Cyberwave
Dungeons of Dreadrock older $5.99 513 94% 15k $92k (exactly $92,186) Prof. Dr. Christoph Minnameier
Lord Ambermaze $14.99 131 91% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Potata Company
Liminal Shroud $12.99 91 89% 2.7k $35k (exactly $35,463) Everdeep Studios
Sudoku Mansion $14.99 69 98% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) Vault Door Studios
Undergrave older $9.99 72 87% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) Wired Dreams Studio
EXIT - The Curse of Ophir older $7.99 78 84% 2.3k $19k (exactly $18,697) Nementic Games
Frame - Portals on Steroids older $16.99 35 91% 1.1k $18k (exactly $17,840) MechanicsDriven
The Strange Story Of Brian Fisher: Chapter 2 $14.99 34 94% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Intetic
Mech Shuffle $9.99 19 94% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) PillBugGames
The Legend of Shiande $2.99 46 100% 1.4k $4.1k (exactly $4,126) Thales Caus
UnPlugged $5.99 20 75% 600 $3.6k (exactly $3,594) DemonLabs Interactive
Neon Sunset $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Gamesforgames
Collateral Dungeon $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Techosaurus Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.