Do I ship it?

Games › Offroad › Offroad + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Local Multiplayer Offroad game?

Offroad + Local Multiplayer

Only 8 developers shipped a Local Multiplayer Offroad game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 7 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $10k against a market of $1.5k. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 6.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 9 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Offroad + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Offroad + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $10k (exactly $10,190)
Top 25% $97k (exactly $96,503)
Top 5% $292k (exactly $291,527)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 31
Announced 9
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Offroad
effort 7 / 10 · low · terrain and suspension physics
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Offroad, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 7,159 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $10k, 1 in 4 over $96k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Offroad with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + 3D PlatformerLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  2. + Character CustomizationPoor odds11 devs · median $69k · 27 announced
  3. + Immersive SimPoor odds14 devs · median $19k · 32 announced
  4. + PvPPoor odds13 devs · median $4.3k · 19 announced
  5. + PhysicsPoor odds50 devs · median $2.7k · 71 announced
  6. + ExplorationPoor odds42 devs · median $2.7k · 70 announced
  7. + SportsPoor odds25 devs · median $2.5k · 28 announced
  8. + TransportationPoor odds10 devs · median $2.3k · 26 announced
  9. + Automobile SimPoor odds50 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  10. + SimulationPoor odds57 devs · median $1.3k · 83 announced
  11. + Open WorldPoor odds22 devs · median $1.3k · 50 announced
  12. + NaturePoor odds20 devs · median $1.1k · 34 announced

All 28 pairs on the Offroad page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

DIRT 5 2020 · $6.4M V-Rally 4 2018 · $641k Rush Rally 3 2022 · $436k BAJA: Edge of Control HD 2017 · $353k Monster Jam™ Showdown 2024 · $319k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DIRT 5 older $59.99 3,530 59% 106k $6.4M (exactly $6,352,941) Codemasters
V-Rally 4 older $29.99 712 72% 21k $641k (exactly $640,586) KT Racing
Rush Rally 3 older $14.99 969 94% 29k $436k (exactly $435,759) Brownmonster Limited
BAJA: Edge of Control HD older $29.99 392 82% 12k $353k (exactly $352,682) 2XL Games, Blitworks
Monster Jam™ Showdown older $49.99 213 71% 6.4k $319k (exactly $319,436) Milestone S.r.l.
Monster Jam Steel Titans 2 older $29.99 328 77% 9.8k $295k (exactly $295,102) Rainbow Studios
World of Outlaws: Dirt Racing 24 Gold Edition $39.99 243 89% 7.3k $292k (exactly $291,527) Monster Games, Amber
SRX: The Game older $19.99 206 88% 6.2k $124k (exactly $123,538) Monster Games, Inc.
Insane 2 older $14.99 244 80% 7.3k $110k (exactly $109,727) Targem Games
BeaterCore $9.99 322 82% 9.7k $97k (exactly $96,503) Artem Arbatsky
Hot Wheels Monster Trucks: Stunt Mayhem™ $39.99 19 63% 570 $23k (exactly $22,794) 3DClouds
Chaos on Wheels $9.99 34 67% 1.0k $10k (exactly $10,190) Acodeon Development
MotorCubs RC $12.99 11 72% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Draisey Digital LLC
Race 'n Dash $1.99 2 100% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Cocoanix
Hot Rod Racer $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) ZeNfA Productions
Off-Road Pumpkin Carriage $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) NoraPerikaProject

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.