Do I ship it?

GamesPvPPvP + Level Editor

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvP Level Editor game?

PvP + Level Editor

Of 75 developers who shipped a PvP Level Editor game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 179 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×1.2 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $410k, ×274 the market median. Revenue is up 180% on the market; 179 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 180% on the market, 179 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvP + Level Editor
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 75
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.8k → $6.7k → $5.9k → $3.4k → $5.9k → $1.9k → $1.4k (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvP + Level Editor: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 75
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,799)
Top 25% $9.8k (exactly $9,828)
Top 5% $410k (exactly $410,086)
Developers, 2 yr 75
Released games 276
Announced 179
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 180% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvP
effort 8 / 10 · low · authoritative servers, latency compensation, cheating
Level Editor
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
PvP, Level Editor; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Online Co-Op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, Funny, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 19,948 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $9.8k, 1 in 20 over $410k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 7 in 10 of the 33 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 179 games are announced against 50 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + BaseballFair6 devs · median $7.6k · 9 announced
  2. + TransportationFair10 devs · median $5.7k · 11 announced
  3. + BasketballFair25 devs · median $2.6k · 28 announced
  4. + Football (American)Fair17 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  5. + BikesFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  6. + GolfFair29 devs · median $1.4k · 34 announced
  7. + World War IFair12 devs · median $1.3k · 14 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair36 devs · median $1.2k · 48 announced
  9. + BilliardsFair18 devs · median $1.1k · 12 announced
  10. + TennisLong shot17 devs · median $899 · 15 announced
  11. + TypingLong shot28 devs · median $719 · 31 announced
  12. + SpellingLong shot14 devs · median $719 · 17 announced

All 247 pairs on the PvP page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Age of Empires III: Definitive Edition older $34.99 37,093 84% 1.1M $39M (exactly $38,936,522) World's Edge, Tantalus Media, Forgotten… (World's Edge, Tantalus Media, Forgotten Empires)
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront older $34.99 32,183 85% 965k $34M (exactly $33,782,495) Barbedwire Studios, Digitalmindsoft
Besiege older $14.99 48,045 95% 1.4M $22M (exactly $21,605,836) Spiderling Studios
Command & Conquer™ Remastered Collection older $19.99 31,503 90% 945k $19M (exactly $18,892,349) Petroglyph, Lemon Sky Studios
Age of Mythology: Retold older $29.99 20,943 90% 628k $19M (exactly $18,842,417) World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantal… (World's Edge, Forgotten Empires, Tantalus Media, CaptureAge, Virtuos Games)
Ultimate Chicken Horse older $14.99 41,060 95% 1.2M $18M (exactly $18,464,682) Clever Endeavour Games
DUSK older $19.99 22,073 97% 662k $13M (exactly $13,237,178) David Szymanski
Warhammer 40,000: Dawn of War - Definitive Edition $29.99 12,286 85% 369k $11M (exactly $11,053,714) Relic Entertainment
Men of War II older $44.99 5,614 60% 168k $7.6M (exactly $7,577,216) Best Way
Mindustry older $9.99 24,608 95% 738k $7.4M (exactly $7,375,018) AnukenDev
s&box $9.99 5,118 46% 154k $1.5M (exactly $1,533,865) Facepunch Studios
Wreckreation $39.99 360 63% 11k $432k (exactly $431,892) Three Fields Entertainment
Warside $24.99 547 68% 16k $410k (exactly $410,086) LAVABIRD
Age of Clicks · EA $12.99 472 65% 14k $184k (exactly $183,938) David Ius
States of Power $11.99 344 88% 10k $124k (exactly $123,737) Sarunas
Ultimate Sheep Raccoon $19.99 205 45% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Clever Endeavour Games
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Summer Islands $14.99 190 81% 5.7k $85k (exactly $85,443) Marttalin Games
World of Football · EA $9.99 197 81% 5.9k $59k (exactly $59,041) Vault Game Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.