Should I ship a PvP JRPG?
PvP + JRPG
Only 19 developers shipped a paid PvP JRPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 34 more are announced, ×3.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $94k, ×63 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $32k; 1 in 20 cleared $23M, ×15671 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $31k (exactly $31,029) |
|---|---|
| Median | $94k (exactly $94,437) |
| Top 25% | $927k (exactly $927,368) |
| Top 5% | $23M (exactly $23,474,646) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 19 |
| Released games | 89 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 47%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- PvP, JRPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Character Customization, RPG
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Story Rich, 3D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 18,273 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $32k. 3 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvP with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + BaseballFair
- + TransportationFair
- + BasketballFair
- + Football (American)Fair
- + BikesFair
- + GolfFair
- + World War IFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + BilliardsFair
- + TennisLong shot
- + TypingLong shot
- + SpellingLong shot
Comparable games
Temtem 2022 · $42M 
INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road 2025 · $23M 
Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition 2019 · $16M 
Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin 2021 · $14M 
Monster Sanctuary 2020 · $6.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Temtem | older | $44.99 | 31,263 82% | 938k | $42M (exactly $42,195,671) | Crema |
| | INAZUMA ELEVEN: Victory Road | $69.99 | 11,180 88% | 335k | $23M (exactly $23,474,646) | LEVEL5 Inc. | |
| | Digimon Story Cyber Sleuth: Complete Edition | older | $49.99 | 10,810 89% | 324k | $16M (exactly $16,211,757) | h.a.n.d., Inc., Media.Vision Inc. |
| | Monster Hunter Stories 2: Wings of Ruin | older | $39.99 | 11,845 82% | 355k | $14M (exactly $14,210,446) | CAPCOM Co., Ltd. |
| | Monster Sanctuary | older | $19.99 | 10,416 91% | 312k | $6.2M (exactly $6,246,475) | moi rai games |
 | Granblue Fantasy: Versus | older | $19.99 | 7,631 83% | 229k | $4.6M (exactly $4,576,311) | Cygames, Inc., Arc System Works |
 | STRANGER OF PARADISE FINAL FANTASY ORIGIN | older | $39.99 | 3,735 82% | 112k | $4.5M (exactly $4,480,880) | Square Enix, KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
 | Granblue Fantasy Versus: Rising | older | $24.99 | 5,944 83% | 178k | $4.5M (exactly $4,456,217) | Cygames, Inc., Arc System Works |
 | Coromon | older | $19.99 | 6,327 85% | 190k | $3.8M (exactly $3,794,302) | TRAGsoft |
 | SUPER DRAGON BALL HEROES WORLD MISSION | older | $59.99 | 1,404 82% | 42k | $2.5M (exactly $2,526,779) | Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Lt… (Dimps Corporation, SAFARI GAMES Co., Ltd.) |
 | FREEDOM WARS Remastered | $39.99 | 1,211 69% | 36k | $1.5M (exactly $1,452,837) | Dimps Corporation | |
 | Virtua Fighter 5 R.E.V.O. World Stage | $19.99 | 1,897 71% | 57k | $1.1M (exactly $1,137,631) | RGG Studio | |
 | Beastieball | · EA | $24.99 | 1,483 97% | 44k | $1.1M (exactly $1,111,805) | Wishes Ultd. |
 | Tales of Graces f Remastered | $39.99 | 773 87% | 23k | $927k (exactly $927,368) | TOSE CO., LTD. | |
 | CAPTAIN TSUBASA 2: WORLD FIGHTERS | $59.99 | 330 50% | 9.9k | $594k (exactly $593,901) | TAMSOFT CORPORATION | |
 | Valkyrie of Phantasm | $29.99 | 556 86% | 17k | $500k (exactly $500,233) | AREAZERO | |
 | DOKAPON! Sword of Fury | $24.99 | 354 85% | 11k | $265k (exactly $265,394) | Sting | |
 | Botworld Odyssey | $25.00 | 279 76% | 8.4k | $209k (exactly $209,250) | Featherweight Games | |
 | Portal Fantasy | $14.99 | 210 62% | 6.3k | $94k (exactly $94,437) | Portal Fantasy |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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