Do I ship it?

Games › Physics › Physics + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Job Simulator?

Physics + Job Simulator

Of 42 developers who shipped a Physics Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $18k, ×29 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1733 the market median. Revenue is up 70% on the market; 65 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 28.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 70% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 42
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $23k → $4.2k → $18k → $17k (still earning) → $33k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 42
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $18k (exactly $17,982)
Top 25% $182k (exactly $181,918)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,088,637)
Developers, 2 yr 42
Released games 61
Announced 65
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 70% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Job Simulator; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Building
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.69 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.69 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 18,641 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $18k, 1 in 4 over $180k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Taxi Life: A City Driving Simulator 2024 · $4.0M Job Simulator 2016 · $2.6M Cheap Car Repair 2026 · $2.1M Leaf it Alone 2025 · $1.1M Docked 2026 · $1.1M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Taxi Life: A City Driving Simulator older $29.99 4,414 62% 132k $4.0M (exactly $3,971,276) Simteract
Job Simulator older $19.99 4,406 91% 132k $2.6M (exactly $2,642,278) Owlchemy Labs
Cheap Car Repair $19.69 3,603 91% 108k $2.1M (exactly $2,128,292) Little Dog Games
Leaf it Alone $5.99 6,244 95% 187k $1.1M (exactly $1,122,047) Eternity
Docked $29.99 1,210 72% 36k $1.1M (exactly $1,088,637) Saber Interactive
Bladesong · EA $19.99 1,483 95% 44k $889k (exactly $889,355) SUN AND SERPENT creations
Home Design 3D older $9.99 2,352 74% 71k $705k (exactly $704,894) Anuman Interactive / Microids, Koalabs
Laundry Store Simulator $11.99 1,804 89% 54k $649k (exactly $648,899) Akhir Pekan Studio
TramSim Munich - The Tram Simulator older $34.99 543 67% 16k $570k (exactly $569,987) ViewApp
Vacation Simulator older $19.99 945 92% 28k $567k (exactly $566,716) Owlchemy Labs
The House Always Wins $12.99 866 85% 26k $337k (exactly $337,480) Toxic Studio
A Game About Chopping Trees $7.99 1,083 85% 32k $260k (exactly $259,595) Space Raccoon Game Studio
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Cozy Cleaner $6.99 992 89% 30k $208k (exactly $208,022) Payoff Games
Worming from Home $7.99 793 98% 24k $190k (exactly $190,082) Zach Northrop, Mason Sabharwal

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.