Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Inventory Management Stealth game?

Stealth + Inventory Management

Of 36 developers who shipped an Inventory Management Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 132 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $680k, ×1095 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 132 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 132 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.0k → $1.3k → $1.9k → $3.0k → $2.2k → $3.8k (still earning) → $479 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 5% $688k (exactly $687,856)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 89
Announced 132
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Inventory Management; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Exploration, Action, FPS
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $22.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $22.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 5,556 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $8.1k, 1 in 20 over $680k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 8 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 132 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deus Ex: Human Revolution - Director's Cut older $19.99 25,392 91% 762k $15M (exactly $15,227,582) Eidos Montreal
Blood West older $24.99 6,132 90% 184k $4.6M (exactly $4,597,160) Hyperstrange
Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition older $6.99 13,740 94% 412k $2.9M (exactly $2,881,278) Ion Storm
Peripeteia · EA $24.99 3,120 86% 94k $2.3M (exactly $2,339,064) Ninth Exodus
Prison Simulator older $19.99 2,329 86% 70k $1.4M (exactly $1,396,701) Baked Games
Used Cars Simulator · EA $19.99 1,147 79% 34k $688k (exactly $687,856) DreamWay Games
Arx Fatalis older $4.99 2,443 87% 73k $366k (exactly $365,717) Arkane Studios
Obsideo · EA older $11.99 797 61% 24k $287k (exactly $286,681) Kyle's Garage
Backrooms Lost Runners · EA $13.99 592 75% 18k $248k (exactly $248,462) ShimStudioGames
Frozen State older $11.99 514 63% 15k $185k (exactly $184,886) Flox Studios
Frankie's FunClub $14.99 236 65% 7.1k $106k (exactly $106,129) LOVEBITES
Dustland · EA $22.99 100 69% 3.0k $69k (exactly $68,970) RedPad Games
Pneumata $19.99 99 48% 3.0k $59k (exactly $59,370) Deadbolt Interactive
Iridio $19.99 87 86% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) KR Games
The Brewline $9.99 110 84% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,967) Alcora Games
Backrooms: Facility Unknown · EA $7.99 34 55% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) Triple E Games
Partisan $7.99 31 83% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Paradigm

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.