Do I ship it?

Games › Physics › Physics + Inventory Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Physics Inventory Management game?

Physics + Inventory Management

Of 77 developers who shipped a Physics Inventory Management game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 184 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $680k, ×1095 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 184 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 184 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Physics + Inventory Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 77
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $22k → $7.8k → $7.8k → $175k → $4.8k → $1.3k (still earning) → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Physics + Inventory Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 77
Bottom 30% $898 (exactly $898)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,695)
Top 25% $20k (exactly $20,374)
Top 5% $688k (exactly $687,856)
Developers, 2 yr 77
Released games 166
Announced 184
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 260% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Physics
effort 5 / 10 · low · emergent simulation bugs need hands-on tuning
Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Physics, Inventory Management; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Economy, Immersive Sim
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 23,392 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $20k, 1 in 20 over $680k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 7 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 184 games are announced against 61 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Physics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Roguelike DeckbuilderStrong odds31 devs · median $8.1k · 30 announced
  2. + Dating SimFair28 devs · median $5.9k · 20 announced
  3. + PinballFair62 devs · median $2.5k · 80 announced
  4. + World War IIFair11 devs · median $1.4k · 16 announced
  5. + Mini GolfFair40 devs · median $1.2k · 44 announced
  6. + GolfFair55 devs · median $987 · 59 announced
  7. + CollectathonFair179 devs · median $718 · 230 announced
  8. + IdlerFair142 devs · median $718 · 167 announced
  9. + Hidden ObjectFair162 devs · median $600 · 157 announced
  10. + CatsFair76 devs · median $599 · 101 announced
  11. + Mystery DungeonFair22 devs · median $539 · 20 announced
  12. + BilliardsFair36 devs · median $538 · 32 announced

All 251 pairs on the Physics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ghosts of Tabor 2023 · EA · $6.9M HighFleet 2021 · $6.3M Waterpark Simulator 2026 · $5.2M Barn Finders 2020 · $2.4M Old Market Simulator 2024 · $1.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ghosts of Tabor · EA older $24.99 9,140 70% 274k $6.9M (exactly $6,852,258) Combat Waffle Studios
HighFleet older $29.99 7,024 88% 211k $6.3M (exactly $6,319,493) Konstantin Koshutin
Waterpark Simulator $12.99 13,280 96% 398k $5.2M (exactly $5,175,216) CayPlay
Barn Finders older $19.99 3,966 82% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,378,410) Duality Games
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Trans-Siberian Railway Simulator · EA older $19.99 1,835 91% 55k $1.1M (exactly $1,100,450) Pentacle
Ship Graveyard Simulator older $14.99 2,107 64% 63k $948k (exactly $947,518) Games Incubator
CarX Drift Racing Online 2 · EA $24.99 1,222 71% 37k $916k (exactly $916,133) CarX Technologies, LLC
Beer Factory older $18.99 1,410 40% 42k $803k (exactly $803,277) MyceliumGames
Used Cars Simulator · EA $19.99 1,147 79% 34k $688k (exactly $687,856) DreamWay Games
Laundry Store Simulator $11.99 1,804 89% 54k $649k (exactly $648,899) Akhir Pekan Studio
Ratten Reich $19.99 616 40% 18k $369k (exactly $369,415) METALLADLERSTUDIO
Behind Glass: Aquarium Simulator $14.99 390 95% 12k $175k (exactly $175,383) BitBros Inc
Tavern Legends $24.99 160 91% 4.8k $120k (exactly $119,952) CROWFORGE Games
Ultrapool $11.99 265 88% 8.0k $95k (exactly $95,320) Icedrop Games
Comic Book Store Simulator $11.99 175 82% 5.3k $63k (exactly $62,948) Akhir Pekan Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.