Do I ship it?

GamesStealthStealth + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Stealth game?

Stealth + Interactive Fiction

Of 38 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Stealth game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 115 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×399 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 115 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 20% on the market, 115 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Stealth + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.0k → $600 → $5.3k → $1.8k → $1.0k → $1.2k → $599 (still earning) → $180 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Stealth + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,497)
Top 5% $250k (exactly $250,400)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 118
Announced 115
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Stealth, Interactive Fiction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Survival Horror, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 11,259 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 115 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Stealth with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + JRPGFair7 devs · median $1.3k · 12 announced
  2. + World War IIPoor odds11 devs · median $43k · 14 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $30k · 30 announced
  4. + Turn-Based CombatPoor odds8 devs · median $27k · 31 announced
  5. + WargamePoor odds10 devs · median $21k · 39 announced
  6. + DinosaursPoor odds10 devs · median $17k · 23 announced
  7. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds20 devs · median $13k · 63 announced
  8. + Base BuildingPoor odds21 devs · median $13k · 57 announced
  9. + Cold WarPoor odds7 devs · median $10k · 31 announced
  10. + HistoricalPoor odds32 devs · median $9.6k · 76 announced
  11. + MilitaryPoor odds43 devs · median $8.5k · 122 announced
  12. + WarPoor odds30 devs · median $7.6k · 89 announced

All 159 pairs on the Stealth page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Shift At Midnight $9.99 10,147 88% 304k $3.0M (exactly $3,041,056) Bun Muen
Shelter 2 older $24.99 3,378 87% 101k $2.5M (exactly $2,532,487) Might and Delight
Card Shark older $19.99 2,965 90% 89k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,110) Nerial
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™ older $49.99 839 41% 25k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,248) Daedalic Entertainment
DYSTHANASIA $24.99 334 88% 10k $250k (exactly $250,400) Madowaku Kobo
iBLiS older $9.99 687 41% 21k $206k (exactly $205,894) Bulut ULU
Yolo Space Hacker older $24.99 208 95% 6.2k $156k (exactly $155,938) BKNLab
Eyes: The Horror Game older $4.99 923 90% 28k $138k (exactly $138,173) Fearless Games
晨昏线 $9.99 427 76% 13k $128k (exactly $127,972) Enter Games
The Novelist older $4.99 553 78% 17k $83k (exactly $82,784) Orthogonal Games
Still It Runs $9.99 70 48% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) NAYUG, KADOKAWA
Lurking Danger $11.99 49 65% 1.5k $18k (exactly $17,625) Farelas
Hank: Drowning On Dry Land $2.99 140 95% 4.2k $13k (exactly $12,558) My Next Games
A Twisted Place $6.99 41 95% 1.2k $8.6k (exactly $8,598) Wraithen Studio
I Hear Them $6.25 36 86% 1.1k $6.8k (exactly $6,750) Strange Presence
Under the Table $29.99 5 100% 150 $4.5k (exactly $4,498) RB Ashton
Perfect Porcelain $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Swordlake Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.