Do I ship it?

GamesReal Time TacticsReal Time Tactics + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Real Time Tactics?

Real Time Tactics + Interactive Fiction

Only 9 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Real Time Tactics in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, UltraGirl Alters, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $0 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 17 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 17 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Real Time Tactics + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Real Time Tactics + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $0 (exactly $0)
Top 25% $449 (exactly $449)
Top 5% $22k (exactly $22,189)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 28
Announced 17
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Real Time Tactics
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Real Time Tactics, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,015 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $0, 1 in 4 over $440, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Real Time Tactics with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DragonsStrong odds17 devs · median $6.6k · 19 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 14 announced
  3. + HackingFair11 devs · median $987 · 11 announced
  4. + World War IIPoor odds24 devs · median $67k · 35 announced
  5. + Cold WarPoor odds9 devs · median $19k · 16 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds88 devs · median $19k · 154 announced
  7. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds19 devs · median $16k · 31 announced
  8. + Real-TimePoor odds16 devs · median $16k · 26 announced
  9. + MechsPoor odds16 devs · median $13k · 32 announced
  10. + Vehicular CombatPoor odds20 devs · median $9.6k · 50 announced
  11. + God GamePoor odds19 devs · median $7.8k · 32 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds29 devs · median $7.2k · 111 announced

All 176 pairs on the Real Time Tactics page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Waifu Fighter -Family Friendly older $7.99 361 83% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) Happy Monster Studio
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
UltraGirl Alters $19.99 37 64% 1.1k $22k (exactly $22,189) FutureInvention
Sierra Ops - Space Strategy Visual Novel older $14.99 42 80% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Innomen Team
DOUGH: A Crime Strategy RPG · EA older $14.99 32 71% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) OMNIA
缄默星空 Silent Space · EA older $19.99 12 91% 360 $7.2k (exactly $7,196) Jachun Digital
Call of Coronga older $3.99 44 65% 1.3k $5.3k (exactly $5,267) Luiz Felipe Da Silva Marian
Saints and Sinners · EA older $6.99 22 63% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) threeW
SOOT older $19.99 7 85% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) Ceiba Software and Arts
Blood Poker older $4.99 27 96% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) Roeb
MEMOLOGY: War of Memes $0.99 52 76% 1.6k $1.5k (exactly $1,544) Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibaln… (Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm, hannibalnotdead)
Nuckelavee $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Peatfire Games
Niut $3.00 2 50% 60 $180 (exactly $180) AF Works ®
POPOLOGIST® Camera Slinger $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joe Rey, POPOLOGY® Networks
Gravity Control $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Martin Reinok
Amber of Jinn · EA $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Stixor
Light'Em Up $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tiny Launches
TheVillage: Possession $4.00 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) GlitchMind Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.