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Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Mystery Dungeon?
Mystery Dungeon + Interactive Fiction
Of 23 developers who shipped an Interactive Fiction Mystery Dungeon in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 12 developers shipped in the last year and 34 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $358 (exactly $358) |
| Top 25% | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) |
| Top 5% | $21k (exactly $20,509) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 68 |
| Announced | 34 |
| Effort | 3 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | High |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Mystery Dungeon
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
- Interactive Fiction
- effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine
What it takes
- Effort
- 3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
- Systems
- Mystery Dungeon, Interactive Fiction; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action-Adventure, Exploration
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 2D, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 70% positive over 1,102 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Mystery Dungeon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + JRPGStrong odds
- + TacticalStrong odds
- + Auto BattlerFair
- + RomanceFair
- + Perma DeathFair
- + Tactical RPGFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + SimulationFair
- + Bullet HellFair
- + Time ManagementFair
- + HistoricalFair
- + PhysicsFair
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Chained in the Backrooms | · EA | $2.99 | 933 68% | 28k | $84k (exactly $83,690) | Task+ Studios |
| | [Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 | older | $4.99 | 431 80% | 13k | $65k (exactly $64,521) | Chilla's Art |
| | Spooky Station | older | $4.99 | 345 88% | 10k | $52k (exactly $51,646) | Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO… (Coletivo Vaca Roxa, Vee, JoyMasher, PKO Game Studio, Spookids Team, Calangames, Expresso Studios, Pastel Studios, Heavy Sheep, LASTONE, Asteristic Game Studio) |
| | Slave Princess Finne, why did she sell out her own kingdom? | older | $17.99 | 82 87% | 2.5k | $44k (exactly $44,255) | Circle Fairy Flower |
| | Jung's Labyrinth | older | $14.99 | 65 70% | 2.0k | $29k (exactly $29,230) | Jan Jileček |
| | Sword Mistress of the Dungeon Town | $17.99 | 38 65% | 1.1k | $21k (exactly $20,509) | ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Lov… (ラブリープリチー超愛してる, Lovely Pretty Ultra Loving You) | |
| | ACCIDENTALLY | $12.99 | 30 60% | 900 | $12k (exactly $11,691) | M&K WORKS | |
| | DreamBreak | older | $6.99 | 48 56% | 1.4k | $10k (exactly $10,066) | Fortell Games |
| | Damsels in Distress | $8.99 | 36 83% | 1.1k | $9.7k (exactly $9,709) | Anime Mania | |
| | Pyramid Curse | older | $3.99 | 78 83% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | SpoocleMacBoogle |
| | Confronted | · EA | $7.99 | 31 100% | 930 | $7.4k (exactly $7,431) | Grumpy Rock Studios |
| | Hello Anxiety | $6.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | Aleph Echo | |
| | The Broken Ceiling | $2.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $1.4k (exactly $1,435) | Iron Octopus Productions Inc. | |
| | N/A Museum | $9.00 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.1k (exactly $1,080) | TheObserverStudio | |
| | Roxanne The Forgotten Path | $11.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $719 (exactly $719) | Steven Meza, MarosGraphic 7 | |
| | Moonless Night | $2.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | Tzompixel Studio |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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